Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 2

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Dirt

71.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

FLEUR SACHET (12) defied his big price last time when beaten just 0.8 lengths into third over 6f at Chukyo Dirt. Expecting another bold showing. KANNON MIKKI (6) is building towards his maiden success, the latest effort a solid second over 6f at this track, beaten 4 lengths. Ideally placed to shed the maiden tag. SONIC BREAKER (13) is a four-start maiden who could only manage to finish fifth at his latest appearance over 6f at this track. Expected to feature in the finish this time. CHOCOLAT CUIT (9) has been in the betting recently but has failed to live up to market expectations. Most recently finished sixth over 5f at Kokura Dirt, beaten 8 lengths. Right in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 12 at Kochi on March 11 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Bull's Eye Prince carrying 126lbs at $7.40. Last start 3rd of 15 at Chukyo Dirt on March 29 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Royal Spire with 121lbs at $83.70. Overdue to get off the mark. Definite winning chance. 1st Pick 12 Fleur Sachet Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Takashi Mizuno J: Michael Dee T: Takashi Mizuno	96	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 12 at Kochi on March 11 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Bull's Eye Prince carrying 126lbs at $7.40. Last start 3rd of 15 at Chukyo Dirt on March 29 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Royal Spire with 121lbs at $83.70. Overdue to get off the mark. Definite winning chance.
6	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 16 at this track on March 22 over 6f, 4 len behind Maddux carrying 126lbs at $6.70. The run before that 4th of 16 at this track on March 1 over 6f, 7 len behind Mogensen carrying 126lbs at $19.90. Close to a win and gets chance. 2nd Pick 6 Kannon Mikki Jockey: Takuya Kowata Trainer: Takanori Tezuka J: Takuya Kowata T: Takanori Tezuka	98	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 16 at this track on March 22 over 6f, 4 len behind Maddux carrying 126lbs at $6.70. The run before that 4th of 16 at this track on March 1 over 6f, 7 len behind Mogensen carrying 126lbs at $19.90. Close to a win and gets chance.
13	Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 16 at this track on March 21 over 6f, 4 len behind Maltese Don carrying 126lbs at $22.80. Before that 6th of 18 at Kokura on February 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Ever Last with 126lbs at $27.20. Well placed to take this out. 3rd Pick 13 Sonic Breaker Jockey: Takeshi Yokoyama Trainer: Yukio Inagaki J: Takeshi Yokoyama T: Yukio Inagaki	108	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 16 at this track on March 21 over 6f, 4 len behind Maltese Don carrying 126lbs at $22.80. Before that 6th of 18 at Kokura on February 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Ever Last with 126lbs at $27.20. Well placed to take this out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.