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7:30 AM

Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 12

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
229.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROSE CHARIS (2) last appeared when successful by half a length over 5f at Kokura Dirt 12 weeks ago, the only time she went to the races last prep. Goes well fresh. Drawn for a soft run and looks a top chance. WANDERER (9) resumed over 6f at this track last time out and finished second, beaten a neck. Overall record is sound when second-up and has plenty of upside with the run under his belt. Among the leading chances. KANESHO LEGEND (10) resumes. Didn't make an impact at his only run last prep on July 4, finishing fifth and beaten 5 lengths over 5 ¾f at Fukushima Dirt. Record at this journey is impressive with three wins and two placings from seven runs and is capable of going well. LIGHTNING ZEUS (13) finished 5.5 lengths behind the winner in 11th place when resuming over 6f last start at Niigata Dirt. Generally goes well with that run under the belt. Can do better than last.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Rose Charis silk

Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Kokura Dirt on July 4 over 5f defeating Pearl Front carrying 117lbs at $3.40. When resuming last campaign 16th of 18 in the G2 Hochi Hai Fillies Revue (1000 Guineas Trial) at Hanshin on March 7 over 7f, 8 len behind Ghillies' Ball with 121lbs at $28.20. Goes well fresh. Drawn for a soft run and looks a top chance.

1st Pick
2

Rose Charis

Jockey: Miku Kobayashi

Trainer: Y Ohashi

J: Miku Kobayashi

T: Y Ohashi

69---16%11/2

Analysis

Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Kokura Dirt on July 4 over 5f defeating Pearl Front carrying 117lbs at $3.40. When resuming last campaign 16th of 18 in the G2 Hochi Hai Fillies Revue (1000 Guineas Trial) at Hanshin on March 7 over 7f, 8 len behind Ghillies' Ball with 121lbs at $28.20. Goes well fresh. Drawn for a soft run and looks a top chance.

9
Wanderer silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 10 at this track on September 13 over 6f, neck behind Don Repulse with 128lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 16 at this track on January 25 over 6f, nose behind Ludique with 128lbs at $4.50. Genuine performer who is going to be very hard to stop.

2nd Pick
9

Wanderer

Jockey: Yuji Tannai

Trainer: Yoichi Kuroiwa

J: Yuji Tannai

T: Yoichi Kuroiwa

179---31%9/4

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 10 at this track on September 13 over 6f, neck behind Don Repulse with 128lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 16 at this track on January 25 over 6f, nose behind Ludique with 128lbs at $4.50. Genuine performer who is going to be very hard to stop.

10
Kanesho Legend silk

Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation 5th of 10 at Fukushima Dirt on July 4 over 5 ¾f, 5 len behind Gale Rider with 128lbs at $9.20. First up last campaign 5th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on February 22 over 7f, 3 len behind Ask I'll Be There with 128lbs at $5.10. Building a good record this course and distance. Expect a forward showing.

3rd Pick
10

Kanesho Legend

Jockey: Ryusei Sakai

Trainer: Yukio Inagaki

J: Ryusei Sakai

T: Yukio Inagaki

80---6%16/1

Analysis

Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation 5th of 10 at Fukushima Dirt on July 4 over 5 ¾f, 5 len behind Gale Rider with 128lbs at $9.20. First up last campaign 5th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on February 22 over 7f, 3 len behind Ask I'll Be There with 128lbs at $5.10. Building a good record this course and distance. Expect a forward showing.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.