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Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 11
All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.
Verdict
| #/Silk | Horse#/Horse | Power Rating | High Speed | Win % | Top 3% | Win Prob | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9  | Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation 12th of 18 at Tokyo in the G1 Yushun Himba (Japanese Oaks) May 24 over 1 ½m, 5.5 len behind Juryoku Pierrot carrying 121lbs at $3. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Hanshin G1 Oka Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas) April 12 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Classy filly already a two time winner at a mile. Has won this trip and goes well fresh. Hard to hold out. 1st Pick 9 Star Anise Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: Tomokazu Takano J: Christophe Lemaire T: Tomokazu Takano | 120 | - | - | - | 23% | 7/2 |
Analysis Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation 12th of 18 at Tokyo in the G1 Yushun Himba (Japanese Oaks) May 24 over 1 ½m, 5.5 len behind Juryoku Pierrot carrying 121lbs at $3. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Hanshin G1 Oka Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas) April 12 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Classy filly already a two time winner at a mile. Has won this trip and goes well fresh. Hard to hold out. | |||||||
13  | Second-up today. Last outing 2nd of 16 in the G3 Keeneland Cup at Sapporo on August 23 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Sound Moryana with 128lbs at $1.90. At only start last preparation 5th of 17 in the G1 Yasuda Kinen at Tokyo on June 7 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Sixpence carrying 128lbs at $8.30. Well travelled galloper who ran on hard fresh. Goes well at the trip and won 2/3 when second-up. Will be winding up late. 2nd Pick 13 Panja Tower Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama Trainer: Shinsuke Hashiguchi J: Kohei Matsuyama T: Shinsuke Hashiguchi | 115 | - | - | - | 17% | 5/1 |
Analysis Second-up today. Last outing 2nd of 16 in the G3 Keeneland Cup at Sapporo on August 23 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Sound Moryana with 128lbs at $1.90. At only start last preparation 5th of 17 in the G1 Yasuda Kinen at Tokyo on June 7 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Sixpence carrying 128lbs at $8.30. Well travelled galloper who ran on hard fresh. Goes well at the trip and won 2/3 when second-up. Will be winding up late. | |||||||
15  | Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 1.0 len in the G2 Centaur Stakes at Hanshin on September 6 over 6f defeating Puro Magic with 126lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up favourite, won by a neck in the G3 Kitakyushu Kinen at Kokura on July 5 over 6f defeating Jennifer with 127lbs at $3. Speedy galloper with a great strike-rate. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance. Has six wins at the trip trip and will take catching. 3rd Pick 15 Flicker Jab Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura Trainer: Shota Nishizono J: Atsuya Nishimura T: Shota Nishizono | 113 | - | - | - | 15% | 6/1 |
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 1.0 len in the G2 Centaur Stakes at Hanshin on September 6 over 6f defeating Puro Magic with 126lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up favourite, won by a neck in the G3 Kitakyushu Kinen at Kokura on July 5 over 6f defeating Jennifer with 127lbs at $3. Speedy galloper with a great strike-rate. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance. Has six wins at the trip trip and will take catching. | |||||||