Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Dirt

71.8K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

WAREMOKO (13) resumes from a spell of nine weeks after two solid runs during the maiden campaign, the latest a second over 7f at Niigata. Showed ability and was close to a win before a break. Placed this trip when on debut. Drawn out a little but should be in the finish. GEMINI DIEU (11) was unwanted in betting on debut last start but ran a strong race, finishing second and beaten 3.5 lengths over 6f at this track. Sure to improve and can get off the mark this time. ECORO BLANC (2) faced the starter for the first time and finished fifth last start at Niigata over 7f, beaten 2.25 lengths. Should be thereabouts. MARINO ESPRESSO (7) missed the placings two runs back then improved last start but found a couple better over 6f at Niigata Dirt, beaten 2.75 lengths. Finds a suitable race and can go on to take this out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 11 at Niigata July 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Lyrical Flair with 121lbs at $20.70. On debut third of 10 at Fukushima July 12 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Ravissant Aile carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Showed ability and was close to a win before a break. Placed this trip when on debut. Bold performance expected. 1st Pick 13 Waremoko Jockey: Mirai Iwata Trainer: Michihiro Ogasa J: Mirai Iwata T: Michihiro Ogasa	108	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 11 at Niigata July 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Lyrical Flair with 121lbs at $20.70. On debut third of 10 at Fukushima July 12 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Ravissant Aile carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Showed ability and was close to a win before a break. Placed this trip when on debut. Bold performance expected.
11	Jumped at long odds at debut, sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on September 12 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Night Pilot with 121lbs at $31.50. Shows ability and can open the account this time. 2nd Pick 11 Gemini Dieu Jockey: Yuji Tannai Trainer: Keizo Ito J: Yuji Tannai T: Keizo Ito	108	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Jumped at long odds at debut, sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on September 12 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Night Pilot with 121lbs at $31.50. Shows ability and can open the account this time.
2	At debut, 5th of 15 at Niigata on August 15 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Kanaderu Pegasus carrying 121lbs at $8.30. Expected to be more prominent this time. 3rd Pick 2 Ecoro Blanc Jockey: Akihide Tsumura Trainer: Eiji Nakadate J: Akihide Tsumura T: Eiji Nakadate	104	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At debut, 5th of 15 at Niigata on August 15 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Kanaderu Pegasus carrying 121lbs at $8.30. Expected to be more prominent this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.