Japan - Kyoto RC - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

94.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

NEUERUNG (1) makes the strongest appeal from the inside draw, with Christophe Lemaire booked and a deep family profile through dam Chrono Genesis. The half-sibling Bereshit won on debut over 1 ?m and later placed at G2 and G3 level, which gives this filly a persuasive starting point. SAIMON GRACE (6) is the next major threat, being by Contrail and out of a family with depth through Mia Stella and Lord Respect, while Kohei Matsuyama adds further confidence. GOLDEN PROMISE (7) has a proven black-type family link through Listed winner Canela Fina and comes from the Y Yahagi yard, so he has genuine place-to-win credentials despite the wider draw. DANON CANTABILE (8) has Yuichi Fukunaga's strong debut figures and Mirai Iwata aboard, with the stable-sire combination also reading well for a first starter.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Drawn barrier one for her debut, this Saturnalia filly brings the clearest profile through dam Chrono Genesis and half-sibling Bereshit, who won first time out over 1m before placing at G2 and G3 level. Christophe Lemaire and the Takashi Saito stable are strong anchors, and the inside draw gives her every chance to make an immediate impact. 1st Pick 1 Neuerung Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: Takashi Saito J: Christophe Lemaire T: Takashi Saito	68	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Drawn barrier one for her debut, this Saturnalia filly brings the clearest profile through dam Chrono Genesis and half-sibling Bereshit, who won first time out over 1m before placing at G2 and G3 level. Christophe Lemaire and the Takashi Saito stable are strong anchors, and the inside draw gives her every chance to make an immediate impact.
6	By Contrail and partnered by Kohei Matsuyama, she has enough in the background to command respect on debut. Mia Stella gives the family a strong staying thread, while Lord Respect and other half-siblings add race experience and winning depth. The stable does not have bold debut numbers, but the overall profile still reads as a genuine winning chance. 2nd Pick 6 Saimon Grace Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama Trainer: T Umeda J: Kohei Matsuyama T: T Umeda	28	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis By Contrail and partnered by Kohei Matsuyama, she has enough in the background to command respect on debut. Mia Stella gives the family a strong staying thread, while Lord Respect and other half-siblings add race experience and winning depth. The stable does not have bold debut numbers, but the overall profile still reads as a genuine winning chance.
7	Carries a persuasive pedigree angle as a Contrail colt from Joy Canela, with half-sibling Canela Fina a Listed winner and a dual 1m city winner at Tokyo. Y Yahagi has solid debut and sire-combination figures, and Ryusei Sakai knows this track well. The wider barrier tempers the confidence slightly, but he has clear top-three claims. 3rd Pick 7 Golden Promise Jockey: Ryusei Sakai Trainer: Y Yahagi J: Ryusei Sakai T: Y Yahagi	38	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Carries a persuasive pedigree angle as a Contrail colt from Joy Canela, with half-sibling Canela Fina a Listed winner and a dual 1m city winner at Tokyo. Y Yahagi has solid debut and sire-combination figures, and Ryusei Sakai knows this track well. The wider barrier tempers the confidence slightly, but he has clear top-three claims.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.