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9:35 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Unknown
Dirt
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOOD TIME ASK (12) sets the standard after winning a 3yo+ C4 over this course and distance by a nose as a well-supported favourite, and the light weight keeps her right in the race despite the wide draw. HOPEFUL SONG (3) brings the neatest recent profile, having won a 3yo+ C4 by two lengths before running third behind Fingal's Cave, and she has already finished ahead of Nishino Endeavor in the latest Mombetsu clash. NISHINO ENDEAVOR (7) is the proven danger: he won by a head two runs back, has strong 12-month form, and previously beat Good Time Ask, though he must turn the tables on Hopeful Song from a fortnight ago. YOMPUKU (8) is the value runner among the selections, with five wins at this track and distance and two sound fourths this campaign, but he looks more dependent on converting another honest run into a sharper winning effort.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Good Time Ask silk

Arrives off the right run, having won a 3yo+ C4 here by a nose from Miwakuno Hosho as a well-supported favourite after finishing strongly. She was only fifth behind Nishino Endeavor two back, but that came in the same grade and she has since answered the key question. Two wins from nine at this track and distance and 115lbs make her a leading chance again.

1st Pick
12

Good Time Ask

Jockey: Yuta Ogawa

Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa

J: Yuta Ogawa

T: Hideki Kakugawa

176---35%15/8

Analysis

Arrives off the right run, having won a 3yo+ C4 here by a nose from Miwakuno Hosho as a well-supported favourite after finishing strongly. She was only fifth behind Nishino Endeavor two back, but that came in the same grade and she has since answered the key question. Two wins from nine at this track and distance and 115lbs make her a leading chance again.

3
Hopeful Song silk

Held her form when third behind Fingal's Cave here last start, beaten just under two lengths after travelling well behind the leaders and working home soundly. That followed a 3yo+ C4 win over the same course, where she beat Fresh No Ue by two lengths. With a track-and-trip win already banked and recent form reading well, she has a solid winning case.

2nd Pick
3

Hopeful Song

Jockey: Shinya Matsui

Trainer: Tsuyoshi Chiba

J: Shinya Matsui

T: Tsuyoshi Chiba

114---27%11/4

Analysis

Held her form when third behind Fingal's Cave here last start, beaten just under two lengths after travelling well behind the leaders and working home soundly. That followed a 3yo+ C4 win over the same course, where she beat Fresh No Ue by two lengths. With a track-and-trip win already banked and recent form reading well, she has a solid winning case.

7
Nishino Endeavor silk

Closed hard for fifth behind Fingal's Cave here last start, beaten two and a half lengths in an open market, and the effort had more merit than the finishing position suggests. Two back he won a 3yo+ C4 as favourite, beating Story Time by a head. His Mombetsu 5f record is reliable, and that recent winning form keeps him firmly in the contest.

3rd Pick
7

Nishino Endeavor

Jockey: Yuki Miyauchi

Trainer: Hiroto Kawashima

J: Yuki Miyauchi

T: Hiroto Kawashima

147---20%4/1

Analysis

Closed hard for fifth behind Fingal's Cave here last start, beaten two and a half lengths in an open market, and the effort had more merit than the finishing position suggests. Two back he won a 3yo+ C4 as favourite, beating Story Time by a head. His Mombetsu 5f record is reliable, and that recent winning form keeps him firmly in the contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.