JP - Mombetsu - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Dirt

5.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

BUKUBUKU (9) is the horse to beat after consecutive wins at this track, backing up a C4 success over Full Vogue with a stronger C3C4 victory over Glam Edge by three lengths as an odds-on favourite. The winning rider stays with him and his two wins from two starts at this venue give the pick a clear platform. FORTINBRAS (3) is the main danger after beating Kazushi in C3 grade then closing powerfully to miss Rimshot by a neck last start, his one win and two places from three starts at this track and distance make him highly reliable. KAMUINO UTAGE (8) has been beaten narrowly at his past two and was less than a length from Rimshot, though Fortinbras had his measure in that latest clash. MEISHO HARI SON (11) was run down late when fourth behind Rimshot and gets Takafumi Hattori back, a combination with three wins from five starts, so he has genuine place appeal with improvement fourth-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Put two wins together at this track, most recently beating Glam Edge by three lengths in C3C4 grade as an odds-on favourite. His prior C4 win over Full Vogue was also authoritative, making up ground with something in hand. Two wins from two starts at this venue and the same unbeaten record with Yamato Ishikawa give him the clearest winning profile, and he looks well placed to extend the sequence. 1st Pick 9 Bukubuku Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Hiroyuki Oguni	163	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Put two wins together at this track, most recently beating Glam Edge by three lengths in C3C4 grade as an odds-on favourite. His prior C4 win over Full Vogue was also authoritative, making up ground with something in hand. Two wins from two starts at this venue and the same unbeaten record with Yamato Ishikawa give him the clearest winning profile, and he looks well placed to extend the sequence.
3	Came from an unlikely position to miss Rimshot by only a neck at this track last start, confirming he is holding strong form. That followed a C3 win over Kazushi when sent out an odds-on favourite, so the recent profile is hard to fault. He has a win and two placings from three starts at this track and distance, beat Kamuino Utage last time they met, and looks a major winning chance again. 2nd Pick 3 Fortinbras Jockey: Genta Ochiai Trainer: Junji Tanaka J: Genta Ochiai T: Junji Tanaka	204	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Came from an unlikely position to miss Rimshot by only a neck at this track last start, confirming he is holding strong form. That followed a C3 win over Kazushi when sent out an odds-on favourite, so the recent profile is hard to fault. He has a win and two placings from three starts at this track and distance, beat Kamuino Utage last time they met, and looks a major winning chance again.
8	Kept fighting when third to Rimshot at this track last start, beaten just under a length, and that backed up a neck second behind Telemachus the run prior at long odds. He is a seasoned 1m runner with one win and eight placings from 26 starts around the trip, and his track-distance record is solid. Fortinbras has a recent edge over him, but he is racing well enough to be a genuine winning danger. 3rd Pick 8 Kamuino Utage Jockey: Shoma Kanayama Trainer: Yoshimi Yanagizawa J: Shoma Kanayama T: Yoshimi Yanagizawa	92	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Kept fighting when third to Rimshot at this track last start, beaten just under a length, and that backed up a neck second behind Telemachus the run prior at long odds. He is a seasoned 1m runner with one win and eight placings from 26 starts around the trip, and his track-distance record is solid. Fortinbras has a recent edge over him, but he is racing well enough to be a genuine winning danger.

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