JP - Mombetsu - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TORUK MAKTO (4) holds the clearest winning profile after consecutive placings at this track, the latest a third in C3 grade behind Ten X when sent out short odds-on favourite. That defeat stops her being a risk-free proposition, but she is proven at this track and distance and gets weight relief, so the form still reads strongly for this. M P FLIP (8) is the immediate danger after finishing second to Ten X last week, beaten a length and a half, and he had Toruk Makto behind him there. His earlier fifth over 1m was also sound at big odds, and the return to a proven track-and-distance set-up keeps him right in play. MARINO STIR HEART (9) has been knocking on the door with back-to-back seconds, both by a length, and she has already beaten Toruk Makto at this venue. ARMY LOOK (11) brings winning form after charging home to score in C4 company, though her broader track-and-distance record says she is more a genuine each-way threat than a horse to take short odds about.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Brings the strongest overall profile after back-to-back placings at this track, most recently third behind Ten X in C3 grade when beaten three lengths as a short odds-on favourite. She was also third to Angel Roll the start prior, beaten two lengths, and her one win and two places from three starts at this track and distance are a key positive. With weight relief and consistent form, she sets the standard. 1st Pick 4 Toruk Makto Jockey: Yuta Ogawa Trainer: Nozomi Ono J: Yuta Ogawa T: Nozomi Ono	119	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Brings the strongest overall profile after back-to-back placings at this track, most recently third behind Ten X in C3 grade when beaten three lengths as a short odds-on favourite. She was also third to Angel Roll the start prior, beaten two lengths, and her one win and two places from three starts at this track and distance are a key positive. With weight relief and consistent form, she sets the standard.
8	Closed strongly for second behind Ten X in C3 grade at this track last week, beaten a length and a half, and that form is valuable given he beat Toruk Makto home. His previous fifth to Meisho Gekiha over 1m had merit at big odds, but this shorter, proven set-up looks the better fit. With weight relief and one win and three places from nine at the track and distance, he is a serious winning threat. 2nd Pick 8 M P Flip Jockey: Watanabe Trainer: Masahiro Saito J: Watanabe T: Masahiro Saito	72	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Closed strongly for second behind Ten X in C3 grade at this track last week, beaten a length and a half, and that form is valuable given he beat Toruk Makto home. His previous fifth to Meisho Gekiha over 1m had merit at big odds, but this shorter, proven set-up looks the better fit. With weight relief and one win and three places from nine at the track and distance, he is a serious winning threat.
9	Has been hard to fault without winning, finishing second at this track in each of her past two starts and beaten a length both times. She was short odds-on when runner-up to Steel Amber last week, but the prior second to Angel Roll also reads well and she beat Toruk Makto in that race. A strong track record and Yamato Ishikawa aboard keep her right among the winning chances. 3rd Pick 9 Marino Stir Heart Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Noboru Yonekawa	125	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Has been hard to fault without winning, finishing second at this track in each of her past two starts and beaten a length both times. She was short odds-on when runner-up to Steel Amber last week, but the prior second to Angel Roll also reads well and she beat Toruk Makto in that race. A strong track record and Yamato Ishikawa aboard keep her right among the winning chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.