JP - Mombetsu - Race 7

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

4.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

STEEL AMBER (4) sets the form standard after winning a 3yo+ C4 at Mombetsu over 5f, beating Wright Flyer by half a length after being prominent in the market. The rise to 6f is the main reservation, but his seven-start record of two wins and five placings gives him a solid base. QUEEN'S MONAKA (5) is the clear danger, having missed by a neck as favourite last start after going down by a nose the run prior, her Mombetsu 6f record reads strongly without being prolific. FAWKES UP (8) has the right recent shape, winning two back then closing off for fifth behind Peptide Avance, and looks the value danger if he converts that finish sooner. UNICORN WHALE (9) is much harder to trust after two poor 1 ?m runs, but the class drop and three placings from twelve attempts at this track and distance keep him in the wider winning discussion if he rebounds sharply.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Comes through the right form, winning a 3yo+ C4 over 5f at Mombetsu last start when beating Wright Flyer by half a length after being near the top of betting. He led and just lasted, which makes the rise to 6f the key query, though he has placed twice from two at the distance. With two wins and five placings from seven starts here, he is clearly one of the main chances. 1st Pick 4 Steel Amber Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa J: Masaaki Kuwamura T: Hideki Kakugawa	215	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Comes through the right form, winning a 3yo+ C4 over 5f at Mombetsu last start when beating Wright Flyer by half a length after being near the top of betting. He led and just lasted, which makes the rise to 6f the key query, though he has placed twice from two at the distance. With two wins and five placings from seven starts here, he is clearly one of the main chances.
5	Narrowly missed as favourite over this course last start, finishing second to Kaseno Force by a neck after closing strongly. That followed a nose defeat behind Token Gin Rock, so she is holding her form without quite converting. One win and eight placings from eleven Mombetsu 6f runs is compelling, and another honest showing looks highly likely. 2nd Pick 5 Queen's Monaka Jockey: Genta Ochiai Trainer: Tomoki Kurokawa J: Genta Ochiai T: Tomoki Kurokawa	123	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Narrowly missed as favourite over this course last start, finishing second to Kaseno Force by a neck after closing strongly. That followed a nose defeat behind Token Gin Rock, so she is holding her form without quite converting. One win and eight placings from eleven Mombetsu 6f runs is compelling, and another honest showing looks highly likely.
8	Closed off well for fifth over this course last start, beaten four and a half lengths behind Peptide Avance after looking out of contention. That backed up a 3yo+ C4 win here, where he beat Sakura Kingly by a length from a rearward position. The overall record is still light, but recent Mombetsu form gives him a genuine minor-money profile. 3rd Pick 8 Fawkes Up Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Hiroyuki Oguni	174	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Closed off well for fifth over this course last start, beaten four and a half lengths behind Peptide Avance after looking out of contention. That backed up a 3yo+ C4 win here, where he beat Sakura Kingly by a length from a rearward position. The overall record is still light, but recent Mombetsu form gives him a genuine minor-money profile.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.