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JP - Mombetsu - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STEEL AMBER (4) sets the form standard after winning a 3yo+ C4 at Mombetsu over 5f, beating Wright Flyer by half a length after being prominent in the market. The rise to 6f is the main reservation, but his seven-start record of two wins and five placings gives him a solid base. QUEEN'S MONAKA (5) is the clear danger, having missed by a neck as favourite last start after going down by a nose the run prior, her Mombetsu 6f record reads strongly without being prolific. FAWKES UP (8) has the right recent shape, winning two back then closing off for fifth behind Peptide Avance, and looks the value danger if he converts that finish sooner. UNICORN WHALE (9) is much harder to trust after two poor 1 ?m runs, but the class drop and three placings from twelve attempts at this track and distance keep him in the wider winning discussion if he rebounds sharply.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Elliott Game silk
1

Elliott Game

Jockey: Ryoga Fujita

Trainer: Masahiro Saito

J: Ryoga Fujita

T: Masahiro Saito

88---3%33/1
2
Admiring silk
2

Admiring

Jockey: Shoma Kanayama

Trainer: Takahiro Ishimoto

J: Shoma Kanayama

T: Takahiro Ishimoto

68---2%66/1
3
Mechicka Boola silk
3

Mechicka Boola

Jockey: Yuta Ogawa

Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa

J: Yuta Ogawa

T: Noboru Yonekawa

79---3%33/1
4
Steel Amber silk
1st Pick
4

Steel Amber

Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura

Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa

J: Masaaki Kuwamura

T: Hideki Kakugawa

215---39%13/8
5
Queen's Monaka silk
2nd Pick
5

Queen's Monaka

Jockey: Genta Ochiai

Trainer: Tomoki Kurokawa

J: Genta Ochiai

T: Tomoki Kurokawa

123---29%5/2
6
Cinnamon Daisy silk
6

Cinnamon Daisy

Jockey: Yuki Miyauchi

Trainer: Hiroto Kawashima

J: Yuki Miyauchi

T: Hiroto Kawashima

143---10%9/1
7
Big Band Beat silk
7

Big Band Beat

Jockey: Shinya Matsui

Trainer: Kunio Himori

J: Shinya Matsui

T: Kunio Himori

59---3%40/1
8
Fawkes Up silk
3rd Pick
8

Fawkes Up

Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa

Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni

J: Yamato Ishikawa

T: Hiroyuki Oguni

174---20%4/1
9
Unicorn Whale silk
9

Unicorn Whale

Jockey: Ryu Abe

Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi

J: Ryu Abe

T: Fuyuki Igarashi

137---13%7/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.