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8:30 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KITANO SIRIUS (10) sets the standard after resuming with a clear three-length win over 6f at Mombetsu in 3yo+ C4 grade, beating King's Message after being prominent in betting. The query is that he is still lightly raced, but the improvement from his Hanshin Dirt debut was substantial. WAR CAT (2) is the proven alternative, having gone under by a nose to Peptide Avance here last start and boasting two wins and four places from eight starts at this track and distance. MARINO STIR HEART (3) was two lengths behind the same winner when third, after beating Super Party by a nose the run prior, so the recent Mombetsu form ties in neatly. LA VILLETTE (4) is next best after closing strongly for fourth in a 3yo COND and winning his previous 6f run, though he profiles more as a contender needing another small step than the top pick.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Kitano Sirius silk

Resumed with a dominant Mombetsu win in a 3yo+ C4 over 6f, beating King's Message by three lengths after being near the top of betting and extending clear late. His only previous run was a well-held Hanshin Dirt debut over 1m, but the switch here brought immediate improvement. With one win from one start at both the track and distance, he is the horse the others must reach.

1st Pick
10

Kitano Sirius

Jockey: Genta Ochiai

Trainer: Junji Tanaka

J: Genta Ochiai

T: Junji Tanaka

185---37%7/4

Analysis

Resumed with a dominant Mombetsu win in a 3yo+ C4 over 6f, beating King's Message by three lengths after being near the top of betting and extending clear late. His only previous run was a well-held Hanshin Dirt debut over 1m, but the switch here brought immediate improvement. With one win from one start at both the track and distance, he is the horse the others must reach.

2
War Cat silk

Finished strongly to miss by only a nose behind Peptide Avance in a 3yo+ C3C4 over 6f at Mombetsu last start, having been near the top of an open market. She had earlier run fourth to Token Gin Rock, and her record here reads well with two wins and four places from eight starts at the track and distance. Provided she gets clear at the right stage, that consistency makes her a major player.

2nd Pick
2

War Cat

Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura

Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa

J: Masaaki Kuwamura

T: Hideki Kakugawa

193---27%11/4

Analysis

Finished strongly to miss by only a nose behind Peptide Avance in a 3yo+ C3C4 over 6f at Mombetsu last start, having been near the top of an open market. She had earlier run fourth to Token Gin Rock, and her record here reads well with two wins and four places from eight starts at the track and distance. Provided she gets clear at the right stage, that consistency makes her a major player.

3
Marino Stir Heart silk

Was close enough to win but could not improve when third behind Peptide Avance in a 3yo+ C3C4 over 6f at Mombetsu, beaten just over two lengths. That followed a 3yo+ C4 win here by a nose over Super Party, when she found enough after holding a narrow lead. She is one win and one place from three starts at this track and distance, and remains a genuine winning chance if she lifts again.

3rd Pick
3

Marino Stir Heart

Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa

Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa

J: Yamato Ishikawa

T: Noboru Yonekawa

129---20%4/1

Analysis

Was close enough to win but could not improve when third behind Peptide Avance in a 3yo+ C3C4 over 6f at Mombetsu, beaten just over two lengths. That followed a 3yo+ C4 win here by a nose over Super Party, when she found enough after holding a narrow lead. She is one win and one place from three starts at this track and distance, and remains a genuine winning chance if she lifts again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.