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7:20 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 4

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
Unknown
Dirt
16.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BELLAGIO EICHAN (6) made her debut last start and was just fair in finishing fifth at this track over 5f. Anticipating sharp improvement with the run under the belt. RYUNO MUSCLE (1) ran well on debut last start to finish second over 5 ½f at this track in a tougher race. Has plenty of upside so he shouldn't be a maiden for long. DOUBLE DECOY (4) stepped out on her debut over 5f at this track four weeks ago and finished fifth. Will take a lot from that last run and is worth following up. DAVAY STREAM (8) is a two-start maiden who placed on debut then could only manage seventh last start over 5f at this track. Backmarker who gets home hard. Should be thereabouts again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Bellagio Eichan silk

At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track on May 14 over 5f, 4 len behind Pink Gold with 119lbs at $9.20. Will have benefited from that outing and is likely to measure up.

1st Pick
6

Bellagio Eichan

Jockey: Yuji Iwahashi

Trainer: Takahiro Matsumoto

J: Yuji Iwahashi

T: Takahiro Matsumoto

150---39%13/8

Analysis

At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track on May 14 over 5f, 4 len behind Pink Gold with 119lbs at $9.20. Will have benefited from that outing and is likely to measure up.

1
Ryuno Muscle silk

Was well in the market at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at this track on May 14 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Hakata Vainqueur carrying 121lbs at $4.70. Likely to kick on following that last outing.

2nd Pick
1

Ryuno Muscle

Jockey: Yuki Miyauchi

Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi

J: Yuki Miyauchi

T: Fuyuki Igarashi

155---29%5/2

Analysis

Was well in the market at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at this track on May 14 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Hakata Vainqueur carrying 121lbs at $4.70. Likely to kick on following that last outing.

4
Double Decoy silk

At debut, second last in a small field at this track on April 29 over 5f, 7 len behind Gran Luck with 121lbs at $5.20. Expected to be more prominent this time.

3rd Pick
4

Double Decoy

Jockey: Ryoga Fujita

Trainer: Nozomi Ono

J: Ryoga Fujita

T: Nozomi Ono

131---20%4/1

Analysis

At debut, second last in a small field at this track on April 29 over 5f, 7 len behind Gran Luck with 121lbs at $5.20. Expected to be more prominent this time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.