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6:15 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Unknown
Dirt
5.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALPHONSINA (1) was well in commission last start over 5f at this track when fifth. Strong winning chance. SHORT FILM (3) missed the placings on debut then improved last start but found one better over 5f at this track, beaten 0.8 lengths. Fitter and sure to run well. CREAM PAN (9) was in the money on debut before finishing fourth last time over 5f at this track. Has good early speed so should take up a forward position. Will be in this for a long way. TIMBRE TESORO (7) missed the placings on debut two runs back then didn't feature last start when sixth over 5 ½f at this track. This is a nice drop in grade so she is a major player.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Alphonsina silk

Had two starts to date. At big odds at debut, faded in the straight 5th of 12 at this track on June 3 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Schatje with 121lbs at $28.10. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track on June 23 over 5f, 5 len behind Ancient Athena carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

1st Pick
1

Alphonsina

Jockey: Fuma Ono

Trainer: Nozomi Ono

J: Fuma Ono

T: Nozomi Ono

113---37%7/4

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At big odds at debut, faded in the straight 5th of 12 at this track on June 3 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Schatje with 121lbs at $28.10. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track on June 23 over 5f, 5 len behind Ancient Athena carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

3
Short Film silk

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 8 at this track on April 30 over 5f, 3 len behind Presto Jupiter with 121lbs at $3.70. Second-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track on July 1 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Ryuno Achilles with 121lbs at $9.40. Capable of a strong showing.

2nd Pick
3

Short Film

Jockey: Genta Ochiai

Trainer: Junji Tanaka

J: Genta Ochiai

T: Junji Tanaka

240---27%11/4

Analysis

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 8 at this track on April 30 over 5f, 3 len behind Presto Jupiter with 121lbs at $3.70. Second-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track on July 1 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Ryuno Achilles with 121lbs at $9.40. Capable of a strong showing.

9
Cream Pan silk

Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track on May 14 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Pink Gold carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Second-up 4th of 9 at this track on May 26 over 5f, 7 len behind Rainbow Life with 121lbs at $8.10. Capable of a strong showing.

3rd Pick
9

Cream Pan

Jockey: Yuki Miyauchi

Trainer: Hiroto Kawashima

J: Yuki Miyauchi

T: Hiroto Kawashima

94---17%5/1

Analysis

Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track on May 14 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Pink Gold carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Second-up 4th of 9 at this track on May 26 over 5f, 7 len behind Rainbow Life with 121lbs at $8.10. Capable of a strong showing.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.