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11:20 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 12

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
10.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

QUEEN'S MONAKA (13) is the horse to beat after three straight wins, the latest a two-length B4 success at this track when sent out odds-on and finishing with real authority. Her record at this track and distance is strong, and Genta Ochiai has an excellent association with her. WIN STRATEGY (4) is the main danger on consistency, having run third last start after producing a big finish and fourth the start prior, with a deep record at this track and distance. EARTH CALLING (11) has not been far away in two fifths and brings a sound overall profile, though six unplaced attempts around 6f temper the winning confidence. MEISHO MARBLE (3) was third behind Queen's Monaka last start and has reliable track-and-trip credentials, so he is a genuine contender if he can turn that latest margin around.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Queen's Monaka silk

Comes in off three straight wins and was authoritative at this track last start, beating Lightning Jab by two lengths in a B4 after being sent out odds-on. She had charged home to beat Cilantro over 5f the start prior, confirming her current form. Three wins and eight places from 13 starts at this track and distance, plus Genta Ochiai's record aboard her, make her the one to beat.

1st Pick
13

Queen's Monaka

Jockey: Genta Ochiai

Trainer: Tomoki Kurokawa

J: Genta Ochiai

T: Tomoki Kurokawa

146---56%4/5

Analysis

Comes in off three straight wins and was authoritative at this track last start, beating Lightning Jab by two lengths in a B4 after being sent out odds-on. She had charged home to beat Cilantro over 5f the start prior, confirming her current form. Three wins and eight places from 13 starts at this track and distance, plus Genta Ochiai's record aboard her, make her the one to beat.

4
Win Strategy silk

Finished hard from a seemingly hopeless position to grab third behind Queen's Merengue last start, beaten just over two lengths and respected near the top of betting. He had also been solid when fourth behind Win Tolkien two back. Seven wins and six places from 22 starts at this track and distance, plus a strong Yamato Ishikawa record, make him a major threat.

2nd Pick
4

Win Strategy

Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa

Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa

J: Yamato Ishikawa

T: Noboru Yonekawa

138---9%11/1

Analysis

Finished hard from a seemingly hopeless position to grab third behind Queen's Merengue last start, beaten just over two lengths and respected near the top of betting. He had also been solid when fourth behind Win Tolkien two back. Seven wins and six places from 22 starts at this track and distance, plus a strong Yamato Ishikawa record, make him a major threat.

11
Earth Calling silk

Kept to the task when fifth behind Queen's Merengue last start, beaten four and a half lengths as an outside chance in the betting. He was also fifth behind Win Tolkien two back, beaten three and a half lengths after being near the top of an open market. The broader record is solid and he has won at this track, though his 6f record is the clear query.

3rd Pick
11

Earth Calling

Jockey: Shoma Kanayama

Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi

J: Shoma Kanayama

T: Fuyuki Igarashi

104---3%40/1

Analysis

Kept to the task when fifth behind Queen's Merengue last start, beaten four and a half lengths as an outside chance in the betting. He was also fifth behind Win Tolkien two back, beaten three and a half lengths after being near the top of an open market. The broader record is solid and he has won at this track, though his 6f record is the clear query.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.