JP - Mombetsu - Race 10

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

5.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

NISHINO RAMPAGE (6) sets the standard among the selected chances after resuming with a third at Kanazawa over 7 ½f, beaten four lengths by Sunrise Rema in 3yo COND grade. He is still a maiden and comes back to 6f, but that latest effort is the most reliable positive reference in this field. TORUK MAKTO (11) is the immediate threat after being sent out a well-supported favourite at Mombetsu last start and finishing fourth, beaten two and a half lengths by Boules De Neige. She has to convert that market confidence now. WILD KAGURA (1) is difficult to assess on recent margins after being beaten out of sight at Sapporo Dirt, yet the class drop and inside draw keep her in the winning mix if she can leave that form behind. NICHIYAO TSUIDE (9) resumes with plain maiden form, but this is a softer C4 assignment and she has place claims if the fresh start brings improvement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Returns off a five-week let-up after resuming with a third in 3yo COND grade at Kanazawa over 7 ½f, beaten four lengths by Sunrise Rema after working home evenly. His Tokyo Dirt run before that was poor, but this class drop and second-up profile are important positives. The 6f trip is a query for a runner likely to be ridden quietly, yet his latest effort still makes him a key winning chance. 1st Pick 6 Nishino Rampage Jockey: Shoma Kanayama Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi J: Shoma Kanayama T: Fuyuki Igarashi	107	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns off a five-week let-up after resuming with a third in 3yo COND grade at Kanazawa over 7 ½f, beaten four lengths by Sunrise Rema after working home evenly. His Tokyo Dirt run before that was poor, but this class drop and second-up profile are important positives. The 6f trip is a query for a runner likely to be ridden quietly, yet his latest effort still makes him a key winning chance.
11	Was heavily backed at Mombetsu last start and finished fourth, beaten two and a half lengths by Boules De Neige after being right there late. That was a clear improvement on her Sapporo Dirt eighth over 5f, where she was at long odds and only fair through the line. She is still lightly raced and has to convert the market faith, but that latest run gives her a strong platform. 2nd Pick 11 Toruk Makto Jockey: Fuma Ono Trainer: Nozomi Ono J: Fuma Ono T: Nozomi Ono	113	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Was heavily backed at Mombetsu last start and finished fourth, beaten two and a half lengths by Boules De Neige after being right there late. That was a clear improvement on her Sapporo Dirt eighth over 5f, where she was at long odds and only fair through the line. She is still lightly raced and has to convert the market faith, but that latest run gives her a strong platform.
1	Returns from a two-month break after being beaten out of sight over 1 ¹/16m at Sapporo Dirt, where she was unwanted in the market and never in the race after conceding a huge start. She had also been beaten over 15 lengths there the run prior. The class drop and barrier 1 give her a more suitable platform, but she must produce a sharp turnaround to justify her claims. 3rd Pick 1 Wild Kagura Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Noboru Yonekawa	116	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a two-month break after being beaten out of sight over 1 ¹/16m at Sapporo Dirt, where she was unwanted in the market and never in the race after conceding a huge start. She had also been beaten over 15 lengths there the run prior. The class drop and barrier 1 give her a more suitable platform, but she must produce a sharp turnaround to justify her claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.