JP - Mombetsu - Race 10

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

7.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

MIRAVIE (6) is the one to beat after putting a small field away by four lengths at this track as favourite, with the manner of that 5f win more relevant than his broader one-from-six track-and-trip record. He had also been placed over 7 ½f at big odds the run prior, so the last-start result was not without warning. WILL EIGER (2) brings the most reliable profile among the dangers, having finished third to Yi Er Thunder when beaten just over a length and owning six placings from 11 starts overall. STUNNING ARROW (4) has the sharper winning form, scoring by three lengths as an odds-on favourite after missing by a nose to Kanade, and has genuine claims if that rating holds. BEST KALA (8) is lightly raced and unbeaten this campaign after a dominant three-length win, though this is a deeper test than the seven-runner field she handled last time.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Stamped himself as the horse to beat with a four-length win at this track last start, leading and quickening clear as favourite over 5f. His previous third over 7 ½f came at big odds, so there was improvement building, and the return to this track and distance has already produced a win. The broader record is modest, but his latest effort sets the standard. 1st Pick 6 Miravie Jockey: Yuta Ogawa Trainer: Nozomi Ono J: Yuta Ogawa T: Nozomi Ono	92	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Stamped himself as the horse to beat with a four-length win at this track last start, leading and quickening clear as favourite over 5f. His previous third over 7 ½f came at big odds, so there was improvement building, and the return to this track and distance has already produced a win. The broader record is modest, but his latest effort sets the standard.
2	Closed to third at this track last start, beaten just over a length by Yi Er Thunder after travelling well near the speed and working home evenly. He was also respectable when fifth two back, and his overall record of one win and six placings from 11 starts shows genuine consistency. Drawn to use his natural early position, he looks a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 2 Will Eiger Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Hiroyuki Oguni	143	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Closed to third at this track last start, beaten just over a length by Yi Er Thunder after travelling well near the speed and working home evenly. He was also respectable when fifth two back, and his overall record of one win and six placings from 11 starts shows genuine consistency. Drawn to use his natural early position, he looks a strong winning chance.
4	Put the race away decisively last start, beating Kura Face by three lengths as odds-on favourite at this track. The run prior was just as strong, missing by a nose behind Kanade, and that recent profile is among the sharpest in the race. He has won at this track and distance and, despite a fair overall strike-rate, commands serious respect again. 3rd Pick 4 Stunning Arrow Jockey: Shinya Matsui Trainer: Masato Kawashima J: Shinya Matsui T: Masato Kawashima	88	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Put the race away decisively last start, beating Kura Face by three lengths as odds-on favourite at this track. The run prior was just as strong, missing by a nose behind Kanade, and that recent profile is among the sharpest in the race. He has won at this track and distance and, despite a fair overall strike-rate, commands serious respect again.

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