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5:45 AM

JP - Mombetsu - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Unknown
Dirt
5.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOUTHERN THE BARON (9) didn't feature last start when seventh over 5f at this track. Expect a big run this time. IKOR (11) missed the placings on debut two starts back then ran a better race and finished fifth last time out over 5f at this track. Heading in the right direction and finds a suitable race. IKENO MRS GREEN (10) led early and was still in the firing line on the turn last start before tiring to finish fourth over 5f at this track. Among the chances in what looks a nice race for her. SMART WAIN (4) improved last start but found a couple better over 5 ½f here. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Southern The Baron silk

Comes off a 36 day let-up. Most recently did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at this track on June 9 over 5f, 9 len behind Ryuno Muscle carrying 121lbs at $12.80. The start before that did the work up front then tired 5th of 8 at this track on May 27 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Bellagio Eichan carrying 121lbs at $32.10. Can do much better.

1st Pick
9

Southern The Baron

Jockey: Kondo Shogetsu

Trainer: Hiroto Kawashima

J: Kondo Shogetsu

T: Hiroto Kawashima

142---37%7/4

Analysis

Comes off a 36 day let-up. Most recently did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at this track on June 9 over 5f, 9 len behind Ryuno Muscle carrying 121lbs at $12.80. The start before that did the work up front then tired 5th of 8 at this track on May 27 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Bellagio Eichan carrying 121lbs at $32.10. Can do much better.

11
Ikor silk

Having third race start. At debut, sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at this track on June 4 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Mon Biscuit with 121lbs at $14.60. Second-up 5th of 12 at this track on June 23 over 5f, 4 len behind Longtail Tit carrying 121lbs at $51.10. Should be right in the finish.

2nd Pick
11

Ikor

Jockey: Fuma Ono

Trainer: Nozomi Ono

J: Fuma Ono

T: Nozomi Ono

118---27%11/4

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at this track on June 4 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Mon Biscuit with 121lbs at $14.60. Second-up 5th of 12 at this track on June 23 over 5f, 4 len behind Longtail Tit carrying 121lbs at $51.10. Should be right in the finish.

10
Ikeno Mrs Green silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at this track on June 30 over 5f, 11 len behind Airosa carrying 121lbs at $39.30. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on June 9 over 5f, 4 len behind Quatre Blanche with 121lbs at $42.80. Capable of more - worth another chance.

3rd Pick
10

Ikeno Mrs Green

Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura

Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa

J: Masaaki Kuwamura

T: Hideki Kakugawa

165---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at this track on June 30 over 5f, 11 len behind Airosa carrying 121lbs at $39.30. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on June 9 over 5f, 4 len behind Quatre Blanche with 121lbs at $42.80. Capable of more - worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.