JP - Urawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

OKASHI DAISUKI MAN (11) clearly sets the standard after winning both starts at Urawa, first by seven lengths over 6 ½f and then by five lengths when heavily fancied. He has done exactly what the market expected so far and still has the cleanest winning profile. LITTLE ACE (3) is harder to line up because her last-start defeat was plain, beaten over 15 lengths after finding no challenge, but she has the class-drop profile, the light weight and prior Urawa winning form to rebound sharply. SABLE LOVE (2) brings a recent Urawa win over 4f and was still near the top of the market when fourth last time, although the rise to 7 ½f remains the key test. MERCI COURIR (1) is the each-way anchor among the main hopes, with a Urawa win on the board and enough recent form to press for minor money if he improves third-up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Returns from a six-week let-up with an unbeaten Urawa record, most recently winning by five lengths from Cinderella Liberty as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. His debut was even more dominant, beating Hapuna by seven lengths over 6 ½f after quickening clear with plenty in hand. He races like a natural leader and has done everything asked of him, making him the horse the others must bring down. 1st Pick 11 Okashi Daisuki Man Jockey: Retsu Oikawa Trainer: Naoto Mizukami J: Retsu Oikawa T: Naoto Mizukami	231	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Returns from a six-week let-up with an unbeaten Urawa record, most recently winning by five lengths from Cinderella Liberty as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. His debut was even more dominant, beating Hapuna by seven lengths over 6 ½f after quickening clear with plenty in hand. He races like a natural leader and has done everything asked of him, making him the horse the others must bring down.
3	Returns from a six-week let-up needing to answer a poor last-start run, finishing last at Urawa and beaten over 15 lengths by Golden Comanche after settling handy and failing to challenge. Two back she was sixth, beaten just over eight lengths, but did make some late ground from well back. Her light weight and previous Urawa win are positives, yet she must lift sharply to justify her place among the main hopes. 2nd Pick 3 Little Ace Jockey: Minami Sugiyama Trainer: Hirotsugu Ozawa J: Minami Sugiyama T: Hirotsugu Ozawa	57	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Returns from a six-week let-up needing to answer a poor last-start run, finishing last at Urawa and beaten over 15 lengths by Golden Comanche after settling handy and failing to challenge. Two back she was sixth, beaten just over eight lengths, but did make some late ground from well back. Her light weight and previous Urawa win are positives, yet she must lift sharply to justify her place among the main hopes.
2	Returns from a six-week let-up after finishing fourth over 4f at Urawa, beaten just over five lengths by Sara Mischief when again respected in an open market. That followed a stronger win here over 4f, scoring by a length and a half from Love Me Henry as short odds-on favourite. The rise to 7 ½f is the clear query, but her recent Urawa form gives her a solid winning case. 3rd Pick 2 Sable Love Jockey: Ryouma Kimatsuka Trainer: Kazuma Yabuguchi J: Ryouma Kimatsuka T: Kazuma Yabuguchi	85	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Returns from a six-week let-up after finishing fourth over 4f at Urawa, beaten just over five lengths by Sara Mischief when again respected in an open market. That followed a stronger win here over 4f, scoring by a length and a half from Love Me Henry as short odds-on favourite. The rise to 7 ½f is the clear query, but her recent Urawa form gives her a solid winning case.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.