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Resulted

JP - Funabashi - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
GOOD
30.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAMAROLI (3) is the one to beat after a sound debut second at this track over 5f, beaten four lengths by Captain Queen after being prominent for a long way. The extra 1f is the query, but she has the strongest recent profile and represents the leading trainer and jockey at this venue. ASTRO NOVA (2) was disappointing as favourite when seventh over 7 ½f at this track, yet his debut second to True Target gives him a solid platform if he rebounds from that plain effort. KUNINO ASCOT (11) also placed on debut at this venue, finishing second to Noble Motion over 5f, and has clear upside despite drawing wider. COPANO HAKUSHU (5) has been safely held at her past two runs, but her prior 11f placing and overall place record keep her in the minor-winning mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Samaroli silk

Returns from a five-week freshening after a promising debut second at this track over 5f, where she led and was run down late by Captain Queen, beaten four lengths. The move to 6f is the main unknown, but that first run rated well against this field and she has the top local trainer-jockey combination. With natural improvement, she sets the standard.

1st Pick
3

Samaroli

Jockey: Masashige Honda

Trainer: Masakazu Kawashima

J: Masashige Honda

T: Masakazu Kawashima

161---19%

Analysis

Returns from a five-week freshening after a promising debut second at this track over 5f, where she led and was run down late by Captain Queen, beaten four lengths. The move to 6f is the main unknown, but that first run rated well against this field and she has the top local trainer-jockey combination. With natural improvement, she sets the standard.

2
Astro Nova silk

Returns from a five-week freshening after being sent out favourite at this track and finishing seventh, beaten over 11 lengths by Fly The Flag, without producing a serious challenge. His debut second to True Target at this venue was more encouraging, with market respect again evident. The 6f is new, but he is race fit third-up and has enough exposed quality to bounce back strongly.

2nd Pick
2

Astro Nova

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Yasuto Mori

J: Ryo Novata

T: Yasuto Mori

135---23%

Analysis

Returns from a five-week freshening after being sent out favourite at this track and finishing seventh, beaten over 11 lengths by Fly The Flag, without producing a serious challenge. His debut second to True Target at this venue was more encouraging, with market respect again evident. The 6f is new, but he is race fit third-up and has enough exposed quality to bounce back strongly.

11
Kunino Ascot silk

Returns from a one-month break after finishing second on debut at this track over 5f, beaten four lengths by Noble Motion in a small field. She travelled well behind the leaders to the turn but could not quicken, so the step to 6f is a fair test. Even so, she was well found in betting and has clear upside second-up, making her one of the main threats.

3rd Pick
11

Kunino Ascot

Jockey: Akira Harita

Trainer: Takashi Harita

J: Akira Harita

T: Takashi Harita

130---23%

Analysis

Returns from a one-month break after finishing second on debut at this track over 5f, beaten four lengths by Noble Motion in a small field. She travelled well behind the leaders to the turn but could not quicken, so the step to 6f is a fair test. Even so, she was well found in betting and has clear upside second-up, making her one of the main threats.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.