JP - Kawasaki - Race 9

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

32.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

BUFFALO RISE (3) strode forward early last start from his wide draw and was never headed, scoring by 0.8 lengths at this track over 4 ½f. Has a strong record here at this journey with four wins from six runs. A bold showing is likely. SHIGERU MACH (9) scored at this track last time out with one length in reserve at the end of 4 ½f. Has seven wins here. Ryo Novata who has scored on him five times retains the mount. Should be in the finish. MAKAZE (4) improved last time out, finishing one length from the winner in second at the end of 4 ½f at this track after being in the firing line on the corner. Likely improver with strong prospects. CRYSTALLIZE (6) was beaten 4.5 lengths into seventh at the second run back from a break in a 4 ½f contest at this track two weeks ago. No surprise to see him in contention.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 3 len at this track November 19 over 4 ½f defeating Shigeru Mach carrying 121lbs at $15.90. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track December 16 over 4 ½f defeating D's Mate carrying 123lbs at $1.10. Has the ability to be in the finish. 1st Pick 3 Buffalo Rise Jockey: Naoki Machida Trainer: Shoichi Hirata J: Naoki Machida T: Shoichi Hirata	142	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 3 len at this track November 19 over 4 ½f defeating Shigeru Mach carrying 121lbs at $15.90. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track December 16 over 4 ½f defeating D's Mate carrying 123lbs at $1.10. Has the ability to be in the finish.
9	Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track December 17 over 4 ½f defeating Makaze with 126lbs at $7.90. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 4 ½f, 3 len behind Buffalo Rise carrying 126lbs at $7. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot. 2nd Pick 9 Shigeru Mach Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Ryo Novata T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	172	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track December 17 over 4 ½f defeating Makaze with 126lbs at $7.90. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 4 ½f, 3 len behind Buffalo Rise carrying 126lbs at $7. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on December 17 over 4 ½f, 1.0 len behind Shigeru Mach carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Before that 4th of 10 at this track on November 17 over 4 ½f, 5 len behind Edono Phoenix with 117lbs at $6.90. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside draw. 3rd Pick 4 Makaze Jockey: Takayuki Yano Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki J: Takayuki Yano T: Kenichi Takatsuki	188	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on December 17 over 4 ½f, 1.0 len behind Shigeru Mach carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Before that 4th of 10 at this track on November 17 over 4 ½f, 5 len behind Edono Phoenix with 117lbs at $6.90. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside draw.

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