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9:20 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
4.5f
Unknown
Dirt
28.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TSUTSU URAURA (2) looks the one to beat after going under by just under a length as favourite in a B2B3 at Funabashi last start. He has not been a regular winner, but his consistency is hard to overlook, with ten placings from 14 starts in the past 12 months and five placings from six attempts at this track and distance. TATSUNO KING O (8) brings the stronger winning strike-rate, with four wins and five places from 14 starts, and his fourth at this track two runs back keeps him right in the discussion despite a plain Funabashi fifth last week. MONGE SPY (9) has the most compelling track-and-distance profile, having never missed a place in six runs over this course and trip, and his first-up second behind La La Avril was a solid platform. ELGAR (11) was below market expectations when third in B3 company last start, but her Urawa win over Daimei Tamana two back and reliable 4 ½f record keep her as a genuine place-and-win hope if she sharpens late.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Tsutsu Uraura silk

Went close at Funabashi last start, working home evenly for second in a B2B3 and beaten just under a length as favourite. The start prior at Ohi was poor, but this is a kinder set-up and the quick back-up suits. He has placed five times from six runs at this track and distance without winning, so the record is more reliable than brilliant, but he brings the strongest recent substance and is the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Tsutsu Uraura

Jockey: Ryuji Tatsushiro

Trainer: Hirohito Noguchi

J: Ryuji Tatsushiro

T: Hirohito Noguchi

108---37%7/4

Analysis

Went close at Funabashi last start, working home evenly for second in a B2B3 and beaten just under a length as favourite. The start prior at Ohi was poor, but this is a kinder set-up and the quick back-up suits. He has placed five times from six runs at this track and distance without winning, so the record is more reliable than brilliant, but he brings the strongest recent substance and is the one to beat.

8
Tatsuno King O silk

Came up short at Funabashi last week when fifth over 6f, beaten six and a half lengths after being swamped in the run home despite being near the top of betting. His previous fourth at this track was sound enough, and his broader record of four wins and five places from 14 starts gives him a stronger winning profile than most. The quick turnaround is the query, but his overall form keeps him right in this.

2nd Pick
8

Tatsuno King O

Jockey: Haruhisa Sano

Trainer: Yoichi Tanabe

J: Haruhisa Sano

T: Yoichi Tanabe

138---27%11/4

Analysis

Came up short at Funabashi last week when fifth over 6f, beaten six and a half lengths after being swamped in the run home despite being near the top of betting. His previous fourth at this track was sound enough, and his broader record of four wins and five places from 14 starts gives him a stronger winning profile than most. The quick turnaround is the query, but his overall form keeps him right in this.

9
Monge Spy silk

Returns off a one-month gap after a strong first-up second at this track, beaten two lengths by La La Avril after leading to the turn. His record at this track and distance is outstanding, with three wins and three placings from six starts, and Takayuki Yano has won three times on him. Second-up now and drawn to use his natural speed, he has the right credentials to fight this out.

3rd Pick
9

Monge Spy

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Kenichi Takatsuki

173---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns off a one-month gap after a strong first-up second at this track, beaten two lengths by La La Avril after leading to the turn. His record at this track and distance is outstanding, with three wins and three placings from six starts, and Takayuki Yano has won three times on him. Second-up now and drawn to use his natural speed, he has the right credentials to fight this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.