JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

24.0K

VIEW

Verdict

TSUBUAN (4) brings the clearest winning profile after putting away Dear Laura by eight lengths at Mombetsu as favourite, showing a sharper finish than he had on debut. The 7f is new, but his two-start record already has more substance than most of these and he arrives third-up with scope to go on. OLIVE OIL (3) is the main danger if she can leave her latest seventh behind, she was well found in betting there, yet her prior Mombetsu fourth behind Riko Raider had enough closing merit to keep her high in calculations. TENRYU SAIKO (5) placed on debut at this track and should be better for that first race experience, though the move from 4 ½f to 7f is the obvious test. PURE SALONGA (2) resumes off a debut third over 4 ½f, was respected in an open market, and has place claims if she handles the extra ground first-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Back after a five-week let-up in winning form, having scored by eight lengths over 5 ½f at Mombetsu as favourite and put Dear Laura away with plenty in hand. He had already shown promise on debut when fourth to Vin Flor, despite being beaten over 12 lengths, and now gets to the third run of his campaign. The 7f is untried, but he owns the sharpest recent form and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 4 Tsubuan Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Terukazu Imai J: Ryo Novata T: Terukazu Imai	236	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Back after a five-week let-up in winning form, having scored by eight lengths over 5 ½f at Mombetsu as favourite and put Dear Laura away with plenty in hand. He had already shown promise on debut when fourth to Vin Flor, despite being beaten over 12 lengths, and now gets to the third run of his campaign. The 7f is untried, but he owns the sharpest recent form and looks the one to beat.
3	Resumes off a five-week freshening after a disappointing seventh at this track, beaten over 11 lengths by Yuyu Adonis when near the top of betting and without a clear excuse. Her previous Mombetsu fourth behind Riko Raider was better, beaten just over three lengths after picking up nicely late. A return to that run would make her a serious winning player in this line-up. 2nd Pick 3 Olive Oil Jockey: Hiroto Ito Trainer: Tadanari Konno J: Hiroto Ito T: Tadanari Konno	122	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Resumes off a five-week freshening after a disappointing seventh at this track, beaten over 11 lengths by Yuyu Adonis when near the top of betting and without a clear excuse. Her previous Mombetsu fourth behind Riko Raider was better, beaten just over three lengths after picking up nicely late. A return to that run would make her a serious winning player in this line-up.
5	Back after a month since a debut third over 4 ½f at this track, where he was beaten just under five lengths by Akeno Hime in a six-runner field. He settled rearward, so there is natural improvement to come from the race experience, and the stable brings solid local standing. The step to 7f is an unknown, but he has enough upside to hold genuine place claims. 3rd Pick 5 Tenryu Saiko Jockey: Mitsuhiro Masuda Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Mitsuhiro Masuda T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	96	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Back after a month since a debut third over 4 ½f at this track, where he was beaten just under five lengths by Akeno Hime in a six-runner field. He settled rearward, so there is natural improvement to come from the race experience, and the stable brings solid local standing. The step to 7f is an unknown, but he has enough upside to hold genuine place claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.