JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

SIENA BEST (2) earns top billing after a determined win at this track, where he was sent out favourite and beat Kokkurisan by a length. His record at this track and distance is the strongest established profile among the main hopes, and three wins in the past 12 months give him the right recent base. VESEL (1) is the obvious danger, having returned with a well-supported COND win at this venue and drawing barrier one with the same rider back, though he is still lightly raced and has less exposed 7f substance than the top pick. CANAL REINA (6) has recent margins to turn around, but a previous win at this track and distance, the class drop and race fitness keep her in the place-and-upset mix. HISOKA (4) resumes with a proven track-and-distance record and a strong association with Yoichi Ando, so a return to his better Kawasaki form would make him competitive for the minors and a genuine threat if forward enough fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Returns from a five-week let-up in winning form, having loomed up and fought strongly to score by a length at this track when sent out favourite. The ninth to Win Primus two back was plain, but his broader record reads well: three wins and two placings from 13 starts at this track and distance, plus three wins in the past 12 months. With that proven local profile, he sets the standard. 1st Pick 2 Siena Best Jockey: Hiroki Okamura Trainer: Masami Yamada J: Hiroki Okamura T: Masami Yamada	172	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up in winning form, having loomed up and fought strongly to score by a length at this track when sent out favourite. The ninth to Win Primus two back was plain, but his broader record reads well: three wins and two placings from 13 starts at this track and distance, plus three wins in the past 12 months. With that proven local profile, he sets the standard.
1	Returns from a five-week let-up after winning first-up at this track, working into the race smoothly and beating Yamazaki Shikibu by just under a length as a well-supported favourite in COND grade. He had been safely held at Tokyo Dirt before that, but the switch back to this venue brought a sharper performance. From barrier one with Tsubasa Sasagawa staying aboard, he has the profile to take another forward step. 2nd Pick 1 Vesel Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: H Sasaki J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: H Sasaki	184	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after winning first-up at this track, working into the race smoothly and beating Yamazaki Shikibu by just under a length as a well-supported favourite in COND grade. He had been safely held at Tokyo Dirt before that, but the switch back to this venue brought a sharper performance. From barrier one with Tsubasa Sasagawa staying aboard, he has the profile to take another forward step.
6	Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing seventh in COND grade at this track, beaten over 12 lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. The previous eighth was similar, so recent form is a clear concern. Against that, she has won at this track and distance and gets a more suitable class set-up. That keeps her in the place discussion rather than as a strong win play. 3rd Pick 6 Canal Reina Jockey: Hiroto Ito Trainer: H Sasaki J: Hiroto Ito T: H Sasaki	72	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing seventh in COND grade at this track, beaten over 12 lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. The previous eighth was similar, so recent form is a clear concern. Against that, she has won at this track and distance and gets a more suitable class set-up. That keeps her in the place discussion rather than as a strong win play.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.