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8:15 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
GOOD
29.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUPO (6) is a three-start maiden who returned last time and finished eighth at Kyoto Dirt over 6f, beaten 5.5 lengths. Fitter and will enjoy the drop from JRA level so is capable of taking this out. BRIGHT DREAM (5) finished fourth two runs back then improved last start but found one better over 7 ½f at this track, beaten 3 lengths after being prominent at the bend. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. LA MIA MELODIA (7) is back at the races for the first time since March 2. Worth noting she filled a minor placing when returning from a spell last time in work over 5f at Monbetsu. One to consider. CANAL REINA (10) drifted back over 7f here last time before winding up late to finish fifth, beaten 4 lengths. Among the chances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Lupo silk

Second run back. Comes off a 37-day let-up. First-up after two months 8th of 16 at Kyoto Dirt on May 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Bizarro carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on March 8 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Mon Souhait with 126lbs at $2.30. Worth another chance.

1st Pick
6

Lupo

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: K Kozaki

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: K Kozaki

197---50%1/1

Analysis

Second run back. Comes off a 37-day let-up. First-up after two months 8th of 16 at Kyoto Dirt on May 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Bizarro carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on March 8 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Mon Souhait with 126lbs at $2.30. Worth another chance.

5
Bright Dream silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on May 12 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Le Pays De L'or carrying 123lbs at $13.30. The race before that 4th of 10 at Ohi on May 1 over 1m, 5 len behind N K Saibo with 123lbs at $3.10. Good effort last start and can build on that performance.

2nd Pick
5

Bright Dream

Jockey: Ryo Fujita

Trainer: Tsuyoshi Takano

J: Ryo Fujita

T: Tsuyoshi Takano

81---37%7/4

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on May 12 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Le Pays De L'or carrying 123lbs at $13.30. The race before that 4th of 10 at Ohi on May 1 over 1m, 5 len behind N K Saibo with 123lbs at $3.10. Good effort last start and can build on that performance.

7
La Mia Melodia silk

Resuming after a three-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign second last of 8 at this track March 2 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Misty Rise carrying 119lbs at $6.80. On debut second of 9 at Monbetsu August 7 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Waka Chiko with 121lbs at $14.10. Don't underestimate.

3rd Pick
7

La Mia Melodia

Jockey: Wada Joji

Trainer: Naoyuki Akiyama

J: Wada Joji

T: Naoyuki Akiyama

107---16%11/2

Analysis

Resuming after a three-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign second last of 8 at this track March 2 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Misty Rise carrying 119lbs at $6.80. On debut second of 9 at Monbetsu August 7 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Waka Chiko with 121lbs at $14.10. Don't underestimate.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.