JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

13.2K

VIEW

Verdict

KITANO CHANCE (2) looks the clear horse to beat after consecutive seconds at this track, the latest when beaten half a length by Party King after finishing strongly. Her record around 7 ½f is a major asset, with three wins and five placings from nine attempts, and her association with Niihara Shuma reads equally well. SNOW ALVA (6) has not shown much in two Mdn runs at 1 ¼m this campaign, but the class drop, third-up profile and first try around 7 ½f give her a different scenario. CIEL RISE (7) was safely held by Mitono Teio when second last start, yet that was a clear step back towards competitive form and he is proven around this distance. SHINGUN ARMET (8) has to rebound from two plain efforts at this track, though his broader 7 ½f record gives him enough grounding to be considered for a minor role rather than a strong win push.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Returns from a five-week let-up after a half-length second at this track, where she finished strongly and again held a prominent place in betting. She had also run second at this venue on fast ground the start prior, beaten a length and a half by Afro Gal. With three wins and five placings from nine starts around 7 ½f, plus a strong record with Niihara Shuma, she sets the benchmark. 1st Pick 2 Kitano Chance Jockey: Niihara Shuma Trainer: Sakai Shinobu J: Niihara Shuma T: Sakai Shinobu	225	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after a half-length second at this track, where she finished strongly and again held a prominent place in betting. She had also run second at this venue on fast ground the start prior, beaten a length and a half by Afro Gal. With three wins and five placings from nine starts around 7 ½f, plus a strong record with Niihara Shuma, she sets the benchmark.
6	Resumes after a two-month break and arrives third-up, with the class drop giving her a better platform than recent Mdn form. She was 14th at Niigata over 1 ¼m, beaten just under eight lengths at big odds after settling miles back, following an eighth at Sapporo. The first go around 7 ½f is the query, but the setup and Ryo Novata booking keep her right in the race. 2nd Pick 6 Snow Alva Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Hironori Sato J: Ryo Novata T: Hironori Sato	136	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resumes after a two-month break and arrives third-up, with the class drop giving her a better platform than recent Mdn form. She was 14th at Niigata over 1 ¼m, beaten just under eight lengths at big odds after settling miles back, following an eighth at Sapporo. The first go around 7 ½f is the query, but the setup and Ryo Novata booking keep her right in the race.
7	Returns from a five-week let-up after a COND second at this track, beaten four lengths by Mitono Teio after looming and fighting on without ever really threatening. The start prior was a plain seventh here when well fancied, so he still has to confirm that latest lift. Proven around 7 ½f and fitter third-up, he shapes as a solid place chance. 3rd Pick 7 Ciel Rise Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: H Sasaki J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: H Sasaki	115	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after a COND second at this track, beaten four lengths by Mitono Teio after looming and fighting on without ever really threatening. The start prior was a plain seventh here when well fancied, so he still has to confirm that latest lift. Proven around 7 ½f and fitter third-up, he shapes as a solid place chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A female horse of five years or more.