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8:30 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
4.5f
Unknown
Dirt
12.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOZU AND MOZU (8) went forward and proved too strong last time out, scoring by 4 lengths over 5f at Monbetsu. Meeting a deeper field this time but she has the ability to mix it with them. LOUGHNASHADE (11) has returned in good order this preparation. Ran well but found a couple better last time over 4 ½f at this track after registering her maiden win first-up the run before. Form over this course and distance is solid with a win and four minor placings from seven starts. Finds a suitable race and can take this out. EARTH MELODY (4) pushed forward last time and boxed on to finish one length away in second over 4f at Urawa. Drawn to take a nice trail just off the speed. Has her share of ability. Hard to beat in this suitable race. HIME KAGURA (12) has been out of the winner's list for a long time, last start finishing fourth at this track over 4 ½f. Likely improver with strong prospects.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Mozu And Mozu silk

Third-up today. First-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Monbetsu October 23 over 5f defeating Alpine Hut carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Last start favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Monbetsu November 11 over 5f defeating Aiga Ippai carrying 121lbs at $1.30. Has the ability to take this out.

1st Pick
8

Mozu And Mozu

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Naoyuki Akiyama

J: Ryo Novata

T: Naoyuki Akiyama

183---53%10/11

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Monbetsu October 23 over 5f defeating Alpine Hut carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Last start favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Monbetsu November 11 over 5f defeating Aiga Ippai carrying 121lbs at $1.30. Has the ability to take this out.

11
Loughnashade silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.5 len at this track October 17 over 4 ½f defeating Gogo Dancer with 119lbs at $3.60. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on November 17 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Pod Duke with 119lbs at $15.60. One of the main contenders.

2nd Pick
11

Loughnashade

Jockey: Niihara Shuma

Trainer: Yoichi Tanabe

J: Niihara Shuma

T: Yoichi Tanabe

82---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.5 len at this track October 17 over 4 ½f defeating Gogo Dancer with 119lbs at $3.60. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on November 17 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Pod Duke with 119lbs at $15.60. One of the main contenders.

4
Earth Melody silk

Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at Urawa on November 28 over 4f, 1.0 len behind Black Empire with 119lbs at $23.70. The start before that 6th of 12 at this track on November 19 over 4 ½f, 4.5 len behind Lemon Grass carrying 119lbs at $61.90. Progressing well and a win is on the cards.

3rd Pick
4

Earth Melody

Jockey: Yujiro Tanabata

Trainer: Takeshi Minowa

J: Yujiro Tanabata

T: Takeshi Minowa

112---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at Urawa on November 28 over 4f, 1.0 len behind Black Empire with 119lbs at $23.70. The start before that 6th of 12 at this track on November 19 over 4 ½f, 4.5 len behind Lemon Grass carrying 119lbs at $61.90. Progressing well and a win is on the cards.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.