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8:15 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
4.5f
Unknown
Dirt
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LIVE MARTINI (9) resumes after three months and brings the most appealing upside, having placed in a Niigata Dirt Mdn over 6f before the break after catching the eye late at big odds the start prior. The first attempt around 4 ½f is the one point to absorb, but her recent maiden form and class relief give her a strong winning profile. MAI KAGURA (2) is far more exposed, yet her record at this track and distance is the key counterweight, with two wins and four placings from 32 attempts and a closing fifth here two runs ago. FIELD APPEAL (12) returns from a two-month freshening after missing by a neck at Ohi and has already won her only start around 4 ½f, so she has genuine claims if she brings that form across. GO GO MELODY (10) was beaten a head at Urawa at big odds and has enough recent substance to be a live placing threat with a winning chance if she holds that level.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Live Martini silk

Resumes after three months following a solid third in a Niigata Dirt Mdn over 6f, where she was beaten five and a half lengths by Rhombus Bless. The start prior she made ground from well back at long odds when fourth behind Mr Tonton, so the recent form has more substance than her overall maiden record. The first go around 4 ½f is new, but the class relief gives her the strongest winning case.

1st Pick
9

Live Martini

Jockey: Takami Riku

Trainer: Yuya Yamazaki

J: Takami Riku

T: Yuya Yamazaki

63---37%7/4

Analysis

Resumes after three months following a solid third in a Niigata Dirt Mdn over 6f, where she was beaten five and a half lengths by Rhombus Bless. The start prior she made ground from well back at long odds when fourth behind Mr Tonton, so the recent form has more substance than her overall maiden record. The first go around 4 ½f is new, but the class relief gives her the strongest winning case.

2
Mai Kagura silk

Worked home from the rear for fourth at Urawa last start, beaten just under five lengths behind Takaichi Nadal, and now returns to a much more familiar 4 ½f set-up. Her previous run here was a closing fifth behind Estrela Reza after looking no hope on the turn. With two wins and four placings from 32 starts at this track and distance, she has the right profile to be a major player.

2nd Pick
2

Mai Kagura

Jockey: Wataru Fujie

Trainer: Kazumi Takei

J: Wataru Fujie

T: Kazumi Takei

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Worked home from the rear for fourth at Urawa last start, beaten just under five lengths behind Takaichi Nadal, and now returns to a much more familiar 4 ½f set-up. Her previous run here was a closing fifth behind Estrela Reza after looking no hope on the turn. With two wins and four placings from 32 starts at this track and distance, she has the right profile to be a major player.

12
Field Appeal silk

Returns from a two-month freshening after going close at Ohi, finishing second to Girlish in a COND and beaten a neck while near the top of betting. Two back she was fourth behind Canterbury Time over 7f, again respected in the market. Her only previous start around 4 ½f produced a win, and that proven sprint record makes her one of the main threats.

3rd Pick
12

Field Appeal

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Sakai Shinobu

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Sakai Shinobu

125---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a two-month freshening after going close at Ohi, finishing second to Girlish in a COND and beaten a neck while near the top of betting. Two back she was fourth behind Canterbury Time over 7f, again respected in the market. Her only previous start around 4 ½f produced a win, and that proven sprint record makes her one of the main threats.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.