JP - Kawasaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MARRON FUERTE (3) gets the nod after stringing together two solid placings at this track, most recently second to Velos after working home evenly. The beaten margin was seven lengths, but she had also run third behind the same winner at big odds the start prior and brings the right track-and-distance grounding for this. MY BRIDGE (12) has the sharper recent figures, winning by four lengths two back before a one-length second as a dominant odds-on favourite, and his 80% place record at this track and distance keeps him right in the argument. BLUE DRAGON (6) is still chasing a first win, but her late work two runs ago was encouraging and she has placed three times around this course and trip. MANI SCENE (1) has to improve on a plain first-up sixth, though four wins and three placings from 13 runs around 7f give her enough substance to be a place threat if she lifts second-up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Returns from a five-week let-up in reliable form, following a third at this track with a second to Velos, where she worked home evenly. The margins have not been tight, but she has beaten Blue Dragon recently and brings proven track-and-distance form, including one win and eight placings from 47 attempts. With Akira Harita back aboard, she profiles as the right winning chance. 1st Pick 3 Marron Fuerte Jockey: Akira Harita Trainer: Isamu Kubo J: Akira Harita T: Isamu Kubo	83	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up in reliable form, following a third at this track with a second to Velos, where she worked home evenly. The margins have not been tight, but she has beaten Blue Dragon recently and brings proven track-and-distance form, including one win and eight placings from 47 attempts. With Akira Harita back aboard, she profiles as the right winning chance.
12	Returns from a five-week let-up in excellent form, having won by four lengths from Key Fine at this track before a one-length second to Horse Spirit as a dominant odds-on favourite. He has placed in eight of ten at this track and distance, and Ryo Novata has a perfect place record on him from six rides. Barrier 12 is the main query, but his current form keeps him right in the winning frame. 2nd Pick 12 My Bridge Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Junichi Yoshihashi J: Ryo Novata T: Junichi Yoshihashi	196	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up in excellent form, having won by four lengths from Key Fine at this track before a one-length second to Horse Spirit as a dominant odds-on favourite. He has placed in eight of ten at this track and distance, and Ryo Novata has a perfect place record on him from six rides. Barrier 12 is the main query, but his current form keeps him right in the winning frame.
6	Returns from a five-week let-up after two fifths behind Velos at this track, the better of them coming two runs ago when she made late ground from an impossible spot. She is still winless from 15 starts around 7f, which is the obvious reservation, but three placings at this track and distance give her a platform to press strongly with the right run. 3rd Pick 6 Blue Dragon Jockey: Niihara Shuma Trainer: Shigemi Yasuike J: Niihara Shuma T: Shigemi Yasuike	63	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after two fifths behind Velos at this track, the better of them coming two runs ago when she made late ground from an impossible spot. She is still winless from 15 starts around 7f, which is the obvious reservation, but three placings at this track and distance give her a platform to press strongly with the right run.

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