JP - Kawasaki - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

26.8K

VIEW

Verdict

FLANKING LINE (12) wasted no time getting off the mark on debut over 4 ½f at this track three-and-a-half weeks ago. Promising type who can go back-to-back. ARC OF LIFE (7) broke through for her maiden win over 5f at Monbetsu last time, scoring by 1.5 lengths. Shaping up nicely and she is one of the main chances. BITTER MELON (4) went forward and proved too strong last time out, scoring by 2.5 lengths over 4 ½f at this track. Likely improver with strong prospects. GRAND FREUDE (10) registered a strong win two runs ago then turned in a nice run last time out when second over 4 ½f at this track, beaten 2.5 lengths. Finds a suitable race and can play a major role.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	At debut, won won by 2.5 len at this track November 20 over 4 ½f defeating Black Tourmaline carrying 121lbs at $9.70. Can make it two-for-two. 1st Pick 12 Flanking Line Jockey: Naoki Machida Trainer: Naoyuki Akiyama J: Naoki Machida T: Naoyuki Akiyama	165	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis At debut, won won by 2.5 len at this track November 20 over 4 ½f defeating Black Tourmaline carrying 121lbs at $9.70. Can make it two-for-two.
7	Recent form sound. Comes here off a 49-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at Monbetsu October 28 over 5f defeating War Cat carrying 121lbs at $1.30. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Monbetsu on October 14 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Star Ruby Pierce carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Expected to go well again. 2nd Pick 7 Arc Of Life Jockey: Kosuke Sakurai Trainer: Shoichi Hirata J: Kosuke Sakurai T: Shoichi Hirata	88	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes here off a 49-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at Monbetsu October 28 over 5f defeating War Cat carrying 121lbs at $1.30. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Monbetsu on October 14 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Star Ruby Pierce carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Expected to go well again.
4	Last start favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track November 19 over 4 ½f defeating Grand Freude carrying 117lbs at $2.30. Before that 5th of 10 at Monbetsu on October 22 over 5f, 2 len behind Steel Fine with 121lbs at $8.40. Has the right credentials. 3rd Pick 4 Bitter Melon Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Satoshi Koda J: Ryo Novata T: Satoshi Koda	137	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track November 19 over 4 ½f defeating Grand Freude carrying 117lbs at $2.30. Before that 5th of 10 at Monbetsu on October 22 over 5f, 2 len behind Steel Fine with 121lbs at $8.40. Has the right credentials.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.