JP - Kawasaki - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

LUCKY COME COME (4) is the one to beat after getting within just over a length of Ange Grace at this track, a run that carried more substance than her seventh as a well-supported favourite the start prior. She has placed at 4 ½f and gets Niihara Shuma back, so her recent profile is the strongest. NAKIMUSHI HIKARU (9) has the deeper record, with five wins and eight places from 27 starts at this track and distance, and she beat both Fly Effect and Lucky Come Come in a recent clash despite again being run down late. FLY EFFECT (2) has to rebound from a plain ninth behind Decepticon, but her C3 second two back reads well enough for this and she has placed twice at the course and distance. MAI KAGURA (6) was doing her best work late last start and her second to Loughnashade two back keeps her in the mix as a genuine each-way hope.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Back after five weeks following a strong third at this track, beaten just over a length by Ange Grace after tracking the speed and working home evenly. That was a clear return to form after her seventh as a well-supported favourite behind Loughnashade. She has placed at 4 ½f and with Niihara Shuma aboard, so this sets up as her best chance for some time. 1st Pick 4 Lucky Come Come Jockey: Niihara Shuma Trainer: Hiroyuki Takahashi J: Niihara Shuma T: Hiroyuki Takahashi	97	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Back after five weeks following a strong third at this track, beaten just over a length by Ange Grace after tracking the speed and working home evenly. That was a clear return to form after her seventh as a well-supported favourite behind Loughnashade. She has placed at 4 ½f and with Niihara Shuma aboard, so this sets up as her best chance for some time.
9	Back after five weeks since finishing eighth at this track, beaten five and a half lengths by Decepticon after leading and being run down late. She was also overrun when fifth behind Loughnashade two back, so the pattern has been costly. Even so, her five wins and eight places from 27 starts at this track and distance give her a strong platform to bounce back. 2nd Pick 9 Nakimushi Hikaru Jockey: Haruto Nakayama Trainer: Yoichi Tanabe J: Haruto Nakayama T: Yoichi Tanabe	130	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Back after five weeks since finishing eighth at this track, beaten five and a half lengths by Decepticon after leading and being run down late. She was also overrun when fifth behind Loughnashade two back, so the pattern has been costly. Even so, her five wins and eight places from 27 starts at this track and distance give her a strong platform to bounce back.
2	Back after five weeks following a plain ninth at this track when unwanted in the market and beaten six lengths by Decepticon after giving away too much start. Her previous C3 second behind Hanasaki Poplar was far more encouraging, and the booking of a rider who has placed on her twice is a plus. She has yet to win, but this looks a suitable chance to rebound sharply. 3rd Pick 2 Fly Effect Jockey: Ryusei Nakagoshi Trainer: Isamu Kubo J: Ryusei Nakagoshi T: Isamu Kubo	62	-	-	-	2%	50/1
Analysis Back after five weeks following a plain ninth at this track when unwanted in the market and beaten six lengths by Decepticon after giving away too much start. Her previous C3 second behind Hanasaki Poplar was far more encouraging, and the booking of a rider who has placed on her twice is a plus. She has yet to win, but this looks a suitable chance to rebound sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.