JP - Kawasaki - Race 10

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

28.8K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

BARGELLO (2) is the one to beat after a strong second at this track last start, beaten a neck by Erin Flame after looming and fighting hard. He had Aoi Hanamichi and I'll Protect behind him there, and his overall record of two wins and eight places from 14 starts gives him the most reliable recent profile. AOI HANAMICHI (1) was below market expectation as favourite in that same race, but she had won a C1 at this track the start prior and her three wins from four starts at this track and distance keep her right in the argument. I'LL PROTECT (11) was only a length away in fifth at big odds last start and is much better suited at 7f, where he has three wins and one placing from six attempts at this track and distance. CARDAMOM ROLL (13) resumes from an eight-month break, but she ended last campaign with a COND win at this venue and has been hard to fault at this track and distance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Produced the right return when second at this track last start, beaten a neck by Erin Flame after looming up and fighting hard. That run reads well against several of these, with I'll Protect and Aoi Hanamichi behind him. He is yet to win at this track and distance but has placed twice from four attempts, and his record with Naoki Machida is a major asset. Second-up, he sets a strong standard. 1st Pick 2 Bargello Jockey: Naoki Machida Trainer: Yuya Yamazaki J: Naoki Machida T: Yuya Yamazaki	146	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Produced the right return when second at this track last start, beaten a neck by Erin Flame after looming up and fighting hard. That run reads well against several of these, with I'll Protect and Aoi Hanamichi behind him. He is yet to win at this track and distance but has placed twice from four attempts, and his record with Naoki Machida is a major asset. Second-up, he sets a strong standard.
1	Was beaten just over two lengths when eighth as favourite in an open market at this track last start, having settled further back than ideal. The start prior was much stronger, winning a C1 at this venue by a length from Smile Thrive after travelling handy and letting down well. Three wins from four starts at this track and distance, plus Niihara Shuma's strong record aboard her, make her a serious winning chance. 2nd Pick 1 Aoi Hanamichi Jockey: Niihara Shuma Trainer: Takayuki Hayashi J: Niihara Shuma T: Takayuki Hayashi	128	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Was beaten just over two lengths when eighth as favourite in an open market at this track last start, having settled further back than ideal. The start prior was much stronger, winning a C1 at this venue by a length from Smile Thrive after travelling handy and letting down well. Three wins from four starts at this track and distance, plus Niihara Shuma's strong record aboard her, make her a serious winning chance.
11	Worked home evenly for fifth at this track last start, beaten a length by Erin Flame at big odds, and that was a clear step back in the right direction after finishing last over 4 ½f the run prior. The return to this 7f scenario is important, as he has three wins and one placing from six starts at the track and distance. With the winning rider back, he has a strong chance to press the main hopes. 3rd Pick 11 I'll Protect Jockey: Wada Joji Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki J: Wada Joji T: Kenichi Takatsuki	158	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Worked home evenly for fifth at this track last start, beaten a length by Erin Flame at big odds, and that was a clear step back in the right direction after finishing last over 4 ½f the run prior. The return to this 7f scenario is important, as he has three wins and one placing from six starts at the track and distance. With the winning rider back, he has a strong chance to press the main hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.