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6:00 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
9.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CALLING HENNY (5) has the strongest winning case after being run down only late at Urawa, finishing second to Maruno Anna and beaten half a length while again respected near the top of betting. His prior fifth at this venue was sound enough, and Ryo Novata's strong track profile adds to a very workable set-up. CARALUNA (12) brings the fresh winning form, having beaten Takaichi Ascot by a length and a half at Urawa after being unwanted in the market, and her record includes proven track-and-trip success. PURE LIEN (1) has placed at both starts at this track and at this distance, so the inside draw and consistent recent form keep him right in the race. ORO FALCON (4) resumes from a long break, but his last campaign included a second to Natsu Hayate and a late-closing fourth to Uptown Girl at this venue, giving him enough exposed form to be a legitimate place and upset chance fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Calling Henny silk

Went very close at Urawa last start, leading and only being run down late by Maruno Anna when second, beaten half a length, after starting near the top of betting. The 7f record is still a small qualification, but he placed at the trip and his previous fifth at this track was sound enough in context. With Ryo Novata riding and his recent form rating well, he sets the standard to beat.

1st Pick
5

Calling Henny

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Sunao Yamada

J: Ryo Novata

T: Sunao Yamada

204---58%8/11

Analysis

Went very close at Urawa last start, leading and only being run down late by Maruno Anna when second, beaten half a length, after starting near the top of betting. The 7f record is still a small qualification, but he placed at the trip and his previous fifth at this track was sound enough in context. With Ryo Novata riding and his recent form rating well, he sets the standard to beat.

12
Caraluna silk

Produced a sharp turnaround at Urawa last start, quickening strongly to beat Takaichi Ascot by a length and a half despite being unwanted in the market. The start prior at this track was plain, but she is a proven track-and-trip winner and has a solid one win and one placing from four rides with Niihara Shuma. If she holds that latest level, she is a major winning chance again.

2nd Pick
12

Caraluna

Jockey: Niihara Shuma

Trainer: Takayuki Hayashi

J: Niihara Shuma

T: Takayuki Hayashi

131---12%15/2

Analysis

Produced a sharp turnaround at Urawa last start, quickening strongly to beat Takaichi Ascot by a length and a half despite being unwanted in the market. The start prior at this track was plain, but she is a proven track-and-trip winner and has a solid one win and one placing from four rides with Niihara Shuma. If she holds that latest level, she is a major winning chance again.

1
Pure Lien silk

Returns from a five-week freshening in consistent form, having run third at this track behind My Presti, beaten two and a half lengths after working home evenly from a position near the top of an open market. He had earlier finished second to Gomez at this venue at generous odds, and has placed at both track and distance attempts. From barrier one with Tsubasa Sasagawa back aboard, he looks a genuine winning player.

3rd Pick
1

Pure Lien

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Takayuki Hayashi

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Takayuki Hayashi

100---23%7/2

Analysis

Returns from a five-week freshening in consistent form, having run third at this track behind My Presti, beaten two and a half lengths after working home evenly from a position near the top of an open market. He had earlier finished second to Gomez at this venue at generous odds, and has placed at both track and distance attempts. From barrier one with Tsubasa Sasagawa back aboard, he looks a genuine winning player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.