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8:45 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
20.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

UPTOWN GIRL (10) is the horse to beat after missing by only a head at this track, where she tracked the speed and lengthened well into second behind Philippine. Her career profile is strong for this grade, and the Tsubasa Sasagawa partnership has produced three wins and two placings from five rides. ALLSTARS (12) is the established track-and-distance specialist, with ten wins from 18 starts over this course and trip, and his last-start third keeps him right in the argument. MIKKI PARASOL (1) brings the winning form, having led throughout to score by two lengths as odds-on favourite over 7f at this venue, though her sole 1m run was unplaced. NISHINO RODMAN (11) has a class-drop angle from 3yo Maiden company, but recent margins and a winless record mean he appeals more as a place contender than a confident winning play.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Uptown Girl silk

Went within a head of winning at this track last start, tracking the speed before lengthening nicely into second behind Philippine. That followed a solid Kawasaki second to Velos, and she now brings three wins and three placings from eight career starts. Tsubasa Sasagawa knows her well, with a perfect place record from five rides, and she sets the clearest winning standard.

1st Pick
10

Uptown Girl

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Masato Tanaka

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Masato Tanaka

171---35%15/8

Analysis

Went within a head of winning at this track last start, tracking the speed before lengthening nicely into second behind Philippine. That followed a solid Kawasaki second to Velos, and she now brings three wins and three placings from eight career starts. Tsubasa Sasagawa knows her well, with a perfect place record from five rides, and she sets the clearest winning standard.

12
Allstars silk

Fought on well when third to Philippine at this track last start, beaten a length and a half after holding a slender lead until late. His previous seventh was only two and a half lengths from Beach Aimming, so the form is stronger than the finishing position reads. With ten wins from 18 starts at this track and distance, he remains a major winning player.

2nd Pick
12

Allstars

Jockey: Yoichi Ando

Trainer: Terunobu Fujita

J: Yoichi Ando

T: Terunobu Fujita

175---27%11/4

Analysis

Fought on well when third to Philippine at this track last start, beaten a length and a half after holding a slender lead until late. His previous seventh was only two and a half lengths from Beach Aimming, so the form is stronger than the finishing position reads. With ten wins from 18 starts at this track and distance, he remains a major winning player.

1
Mikki Parasol silk

Chasing a hat-trick after leading throughout to beat Neo Aotobi by two lengths over 7f at this track, when sent out an odds-on favourite. She had also led to score at Saga, so the current pattern is strong. The move to 1m asks a little more after one unplaced try around this trip, but barrier one, winning form and Takayuki Yano back aboard keep her high among the winning chances.

3rd Pick
1

Mikki Parasol

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Naoyuki Matoba

176---20%4/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick after leading throughout to beat Neo Aotobi by two lengths over 7f at this track, when sent out an odds-on favourite. She had also led to score at Saga, so the current pattern is strong. The move to 1m asks a little more after one unplaced try around this trip, but barrier one, winning form and Takayuki Yano back aboard keep her high among the winning chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.