JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

IRON BIBLE (4) is the horse to beat with proven form at this track and distance, a solid 1m profile and the scope to improve second-up after finishing fifth behind Mon Ami at this venue. His second to M T King before a break reads well for this assignment and the class drop strengthens the case. LOGI MAGGIE (10) brings a different angle, coming from 3yo Maiden company for a new stable with Tsubasa Sasagawa booked, and while her last two runs were plain, she is lightly raced and has enough upside to be a real danger. TOSEN DEEN (7) has not been winning, but his track-and-distance place record keeps him in the mix, especially third-up. POLYLOOP (5) was costly as odds-on favourite last start, yet his earlier third and overall three-start profile give him a sound place-to-winning chance if he rebounds.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up after finishing fifth behind Mon Ami at this track, beaten six lengths when only fair to the line, but his better form is strong for this. He fought hard when runner-up to M T King before a break and has won and placed at this track and distance from limited tries. Proven at the mile, suited by the class drop and likely to make his presence felt for a long way. 1st Pick 4 Iron Bible Jockey: Masashige Honda Trainer: Satoshi Fukunaga J: Masashige Honda T: Satoshi Fukunaga	146	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second-up after finishing fifth behind Mon Ami at this track, beaten six lengths when only fair to the line, but his better form is strong for this. He fought hard when runner-up to M T King before a break and has won and placed at this track and distance from limited tries. Proven at the mile, suited by the class drop and likely to make his presence felt for a long way.
10	Back after six weeks for a new stable and brings outside 3yo Maiden form, most recently eighth behind Rin at Sapporo Dirt after travelling handy enough but failing to finish off. She was ninth at Sapporo the run prior and has yet to win from five starts, though she has placed this season and gets a leading rider aboard. The class drop gives her a genuine chance to improve sharply. 2nd Pick 10 Logi Maggie Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Akihiko Shoji J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Akihiko Shoji	108	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Back after six weeks for a new stable and brings outside 3yo Maiden form, most recently eighth behind Rin at Sapporo Dirt after travelling handy enough but failing to finish off. She was ninth at Sapporo the run prior and has yet to win from five starts, though she has placed this season and gets a leading rider aboard. The class drop gives her a genuine chance to improve sharply.
7	Back after five weeks and arrives third-up, which may help him lift from an eighth behind Beach Aimming at this track when beaten three and a half lengths. He was unwanted in betting there but was not disgraced, while his earlier ninth was a much flatter effort. With four placings from nine attempts at this track and distance, his profile is stronger than the recent form figures suggest. 3rd Pick 7 Tosen Deen Jockey: Ryo Fujita Trainer: Kazuma Hashimoto J: Ryo Fujita T: Kazuma Hashimoto	94	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Back after five weeks and arrives third-up, which may help him lift from an eighth behind Beach Aimming at this track when beaten three and a half lengths. He was unwanted in betting there but was not disgraced, while his earlier ninth was a much flatter effort. With four placings from nine attempts at this track and distance, his profile is stronger than the recent form figures suggest.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.