Logo
START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK
Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
8:35 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
57.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PIERRE MESSIAH (2) appeals as the one to beat on debut, getting barrier 2 and 112lbs for Naoyuki Matoba, whose stable sits fourth for wins at this track and has a fair first-starter profile with 2 wins and 5 placings from 13. The Smart Falcon filly also has a workable trainer-sire record behind her. IIDE TWILIGHT (3) is the main danger, helped by Takayuki Yano taking the ride and a Takakazu Saso debut record of 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 starters. SOUND ATTRAIT (5) has a solid Keiyuki Suzuki debut base, while KEN WIND (1) draws the inside and profiles as a place hope for Chiaki Hori, with Keita Nishi bringing useful local experience.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Pierre Messiah silk

Makes her debut with a strong set-up, drawing barrier 2 and carrying just 112lbs. The Naoyuki Matoba stable has 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 debut runners, and its Smart Falcon pairing has also produced regular placings. With the stable ranked fourth for wins at this track, this filly brings the most appealing profile and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Pierre Messiah

Jockey: Kizawa Sho

Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba

J: Kizawa Sho

T: Naoyuki Matoba

42---39%13/8

Analysis

Makes her debut with a strong set-up, drawing barrier 2 and carrying just 112lbs. The Naoyuki Matoba stable has 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 debut runners, and its Smart Falcon pairing has also produced regular placings. With the stable ranked fourth for wins at this track, this filly brings the most appealing profile and looks the one to beat.

3
Iide Twilight silk

Comes to the races for a stable with an excellent debut record, Takakazu Saso having 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 first starters. Takayuki Yano, the leading rider at this track, is a major booking, and the family has produced winners through Libertad, Body Double and Mr Bobby. She has enough in her profile to be a serious winning chance first time out.

2nd Pick
3

Iide Twilight

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Takakazu Saso

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Takakazu Saso

55---27%11/4

Analysis

Comes to the races for a stable with an excellent debut record, Takakazu Saso having 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 first starters. Takayuki Yano, the leading rider at this track, is a major booking, and the family has produced winners through Libertad, Body Double and Mr Bobby. She has enough in her profile to be a serious winning chance first time out.

5
Sound Attrait silk

Debuts for Keiyuki Suzuki, who has 2 wins and 4 placings from 9 debut runners, so there is a respectable stable pattern behind this Shanghai Bobby colt. The dam has left Yasaka Liberte, a city winner, and Yasaka Lien was fifth on debut over 1m at this track. Barrier 5 and 121lbs are fair enough, placing him among the better place chances.

3rd Pick
5

Sound Attrait

Jockey: Ryuji Tatsushiro

Trainer: Keiyuki Suzuki

J: Ryuji Tatsushiro

T: Keiyuki Suzuki

32---20%4/1

Analysis

Debuts for Keiyuki Suzuki, who has 2 wins and 4 placings from 9 debut runners, so there is a respectable stable pattern behind this Shanghai Bobby colt. The dam has left Yasaka Liberte, a city winner, and Yasaka Lien was fifth on debut over 1m at this track. Barrier 5 and 121lbs are fair enough, placing him among the better place chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.