JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

9.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

MIHATA TATENASHI (9) returned from a spell three weeks ago when he was beaten 6 lengths into eighth over 6f at this track. Fitter so expect a better run this time. HONGBAO (1) missed the placings two runs back then didn't feature last start when 8 lengths away in tenth over 6f at this track. Suitably placed so anticipating a big run this time. POND SPRING (13) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race and finished 3.5 lengths away in fourth last time out over 6f at this track. Likely improver with strong prospects. VARIATION (14) was prominent until they straightened last time but weakened to finish fourth, beaten 4.5 lengths, over 6f at this track. Cannot be ruled out in this suitable assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Second-up. First-up after eight months 8th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 6 len behind Sun Pinon carrying 123lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track June 13 over 6f defeating African Beat carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Strong winning chance. 1st Pick 9 Mihata Tatenashi Jockey: Masaki Segawa Trainer: Hiromitsu Kurita J: Masaki Segawa T: Hiromitsu Kurita	108	-	-	-	62%	8/13
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 8th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 6 len behind Sun Pinon carrying 123lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track June 13 over 6f defeating African Beat carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Strong winning chance.
1	Last start 10th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 8 len behind Sun Pinon with 119lbs at $166.30. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on January 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind S K Eagle carrying 119lbs at $163.70. Winning prospects enhanced by the inside gate. 2nd Pick 1 Hongbao Jockey: Reo Yokogawa Trainer: Takashi Kubosugi J: Reo Yokogawa T: Takashi Kubosugi	58	-	-	-	2%	80/1
Analysis Last start 10th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 8 len behind Sun Pinon with 119lbs at $166.30. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on January 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind S K Eagle carrying 119lbs at $163.70. Winning prospects enhanced by the inside gate.
13	At the latest run 4th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Sun Pinon carrying 123lbs at $15. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on January 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind S K Eagle carrying 123lbs at $5. Making headway. Likely to measure up again. 3rd Pick 13 Pond Spring Jockey: Shunsuke Ishikawa Trainer: Minoru Asakura J: Shunsuke Ishikawa T: Minoru Asakura	135	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 15 at this track on February 17 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Sun Pinon carrying 123lbs at $15. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on January 27 over 6f, 5.5 len behind S K Eagle carrying 123lbs at $5. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

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A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.