JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 11

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

325.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

SMILE MAMBO (1) is the one to beat with the best blend of current form and proven suitability. He won an A2 at this track two runs ago, then worked home evenly for third as favourite over 7f, and the return to 1m is a major plus given he is three from three at this track and distance. BEAR BAKKYUN (9) brings a high-quality winning profile, with eight wins from 13 starts and five wins from seven around 1m, so his latest fifth at Funabashi reads better back at the more suitable trip. ALLES GUT (8) has not won at this track and distance but has placed four times from five attempts, and his last two A2 efforts keep him right in the winning conversation. RIKO SPARROW (7) resumes after beating Sonic Star by two lengths at this venue, and his overall record of seven wins from twelve starts makes him a genuine danger if he returns in the same order.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Won an A2 at this track two runs ago, leading and holding Bless Word by a neck, then worked home evenly for third as favourite over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths by Assurbanipal. The return to 1m suits perfectly, with three wins from three starts at this track and distance, and he is race-fit third-up. From barrier 1 he gets the right platform to be very hard to beat. 1st Pick 1 Smile Mambo Jockey: Wada Joji Trainer: Hidemitsu Sakai J: Wada Joji T: Hidemitsu Sakai	223	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Won an A2 at this track two runs ago, leading and holding Bless Word by a neck, then worked home evenly for third as favourite over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths by Assurbanipal. The return to 1m suits perfectly, with three wins from three starts at this track and distance, and he is race-fit third-up. From barrier 1 he gets the right platform to be very hard to beat.
9	Had his winning run halted at Funabashi when fifth to Mikki Fight, beaten seven and a half lengths at big odds, but he was only collared late over 1m. His Kawasaki win before that was decisive, beating Sayono Nature by two lengths after taking control. The return to 1m is ideal for a horse with five wins from seven around the trip, and he rates a major danger. 2nd Pick 9 Bear Bakkyun Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Ryo Novata T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	157	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Had his winning run halted at Funabashi when fifth to Mikki Fight, beaten seven and a half lengths at big odds, but he was only collared late over 1m. His Kawasaki win before that was decisive, beating Sayono Nature by two lengths after taking control. The return to 1m is ideal for a horse with five wins from seven around the trip, and he rates a major danger.
8	Returns from a six-week freshening after finishing fourth to Smile Mambo in an A2 at this track, beaten just under six lengths but picking up well late. The run prior was a narrow second to Alm La Tour in A2B1 grade, beaten half a length after fighting hard. He is consistent this season, suited third-up and well placed to make a serious winning bid. 3rd Pick 8 Alles Gut Jockey: Masashige Honda Trainer: Kenji Tsukioka J: Masashige Honda T: Kenji Tsukioka	85	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Returns from a six-week freshening after finishing fourth to Smile Mambo in an A2 at this track, beaten just under six lengths but picking up well late. The run prior was a narrow second to Alm La Tour in A2B1 grade, beaten half a length after fighting hard. He is consistent this season, suited third-up and well placed to make a serious winning bid.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.