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3:50 PM

IE - Curragh - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Handicap
Turf
Good
35.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SUBSTANCE left the impression his breakthrough Roscommon victory 12 days ago was only scratching the surface of what he may well have to offer this year and Joseph O'Brien's colt can make light of a 10 lb rise, albeit in what is a much deeper affair. Gavoo caught the eye on his reappearance and is another to be interested in for a stable going well. Quiet Mutiny, Zenford and Star of Sapphire are others making each-way appeal.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Substance (Ire) silk

Not without promise in maidens and proved a different proposition when making a successful switch to handicaps at Roscommon (7.5f) 12 days ago, coming from much further back than the other principals. 10 lb higher now but there's surely even better to come.

1st Pick
10

Substance (Ire)

Jockey: D. B. Mcmonagle

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

J: D. B. Mcmonagle

T: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Not without promise in maidens and proved a different proposition when making a successful switch to handicaps at Roscommon (7.5f) 12 days ago, coming from much further back than the other principals. 10 lb higher now but there's surely even better to come.

2
Gavoo (Ire) silk

Ended last season with success at Dundalk (6f) and shaped well returning from 6 months off when fourth at Naas (6f) 2 weeks ago, the race not getting to the bottom of him. Represents a yard going well and his present mark looks workable. Interesting.

2nd Pick
2

Gavoo (Ire)

Jockey: L. T. Mcateer

Trainer: David Marnane, Ireland

J: L. T. Mcateer

T: David Marnane, Ireland

94---13%7/1

Analysis

Ended last season with success at Dundalk (6f) and shaped well returning from 6 months off when fourth at Naas (6f) 2 weeks ago, the race not getting to the bottom of him. Represents a yard going well and his present mark looks workable. Interesting.

1
Quiet Mutiny (Ire) silk

Justified support on debut in 15-runner maiden at Fairyhouse (6f) last summer, scoring readily from Precise who landed a pair of Grade 1s later in the year. Likely she'll sharpen up for her Cork listed second 3 weeks ago and she remains open to improvement now handicapping.

3rd Pick
1

Quiet Mutiny (Ire)

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

Trainer: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland

J: G. F. Carroll

T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland

90---12%8/1

Analysis

Justified support on debut in 15-runner maiden at Fairyhouse (6f) last summer, scoring readily from Precise who landed a pair of Grade 1s later in the year. Likely she'll sharpen up for her Cork listed second 3 weeks ago and she remains open to improvement now handicapping.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.