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Resulted

IE - Cork - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Group 3
Turf
Yielding (Yielding to Soft in places)
82.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CATALINA DELCARPIO was disappointing at Royal Ascot but the form of her previous win in the Amethyst Stakes would set the standard here and she can be given another chance to get back on track. Dancing Saxon has been consistent this year and shaped well over an inadequate 6f last time so is also considered, with Magny Cours and Pivotal Attack completing the shortlist
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Catalina Delcarpio (Ire) silk

Resumed progress when landing the listed Amethyst Stakes (1m) at Leopardstown in May but failed to meet expectations when 15¼ lengths thirteenth of 15 to Blue Bolt in Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot (1m, good to firm) 74 days ago. Respected back at this level.

1st Pick
1

Catalina Delcarpio (Ire)

Jockey: William James Lee

Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland

J: William James Lee

T: P. Twomey, Ireland

100---40%

Analysis

Resumed progress when landing the listed Amethyst Stakes (1m) at Leopardstown in May but failed to meet expectations when 15¼ lengths thirteenth of 15 to Blue Bolt in Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot (1m, good to firm) 74 days ago. Respected back at this level.

7
Dancing Saxon (Ire) silk

Much improved this year, winning minor events on first 2 outings before a close second in listed event at Naas in July. Scored cosily back in handicap company at Galway (7f) 5 days later and again ran well when 1½ lengths third of 8 in Ballyogan Stakes at Naas (6f) last week. Longer trip will suit.

2nd Pick
7

Dancing Saxon (Ire)

Jockey: Declan Mcdonogh

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

J: Declan Mcdonogh

T: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

93---23%

Analysis

Much improved this year, winning minor events on first 2 outings before a close second in listed event at Naas in July. Scored cosily back in handicap company at Galway (7f) 5 days later and again ran well when 1½ lengths third of 8 in Ballyogan Stakes at Naas (6f) last week. Longer trip will suit.

9
Magny Cours (Ire) silk

Ended 2025 with a second-placed finish in a Chantilly Group 3 and took her form up a notch when 1¼ lengths second of 13 to True Love in Priory Belle Stakes at Leopardstown (7f, soft) on return. Down the field in the Irish 1,000 Guineas last time but ground will suit her and she's respected.

3rd Pick
9

Magny Cours (Ire)

Jockey: Ben Martin Coen

Trainer: Daniel Mcloughlin, Ireland

J: Ben Martin Coen

T: Daniel Mcloughlin, Ireland

97---10%

Analysis

Ended 2025 with a second-placed finish in a Chantilly Group 3 and took her form up a notch when 1¼ lengths second of 13 to True Love in Priory Belle Stakes at Leopardstown (7f, soft) on return. Down the field in the Irish 1,000 Guineas last time but ground will suit her and she's respected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.