NZ - Hawera - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MADAM ZARA (12) made ground from a mile back over the extreme distance two back then hit the line hard from midfield last time. Take holding out here. WRY SMILE (1) loomed on the turn from well back & fought hard for a narrow win at Te Aroha before running on OK last time. Look for him to finish hard again. TAI (4) was handy & took over turn but was swamped late when fresh 2 back then got back & stayed there last time. Latest too bad to be true. Look for improvement. LEPREKHAN (6) took control & skyed away midrace but effort told over the extreme distance 2 back then fought hard from on the pace last time. Place claims on a wet track.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Trentham on September 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Piper's Son with 117lbs at $5.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 2m, on rain affected going, 13 len behind In A Pickle with 115lbs at $22.60. Worth another chance. 1st Pick 12 Madam Zara Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Pat Keegan J: Lily Sutherland T: Pat Keegan	77	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Trentham on September 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Piper's Son with 117lbs at $5.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 2m, on rain affected going, 13 len behind In A Pickle with 115lbs at $22.60. Worth another chance.
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind So Call Me carrying 153lbs at $9. The start before that won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Quill carrying 153lbs at $8.90. Worth following up. 2nd Pick 1 Wry Smile Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Samantha Logan J: Floor Moerman T: Samantha Logan	74	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind So Call Me carrying 153lbs at $9. The start before that won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Quill carrying 153lbs at $8.90. Worth following up.
7	Recent form sound. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Basilthegreek carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 13 over 7f, 0.4 len behind Daiwa Explorer carrying 122lbs at $6.80. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot. 3rd Pick 7 Rosa Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ilone Kelly J: Non Runner T: Ilone Kelly	62	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Basilthegreek carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 13 over 7f, 0.4 len behind Daiwa Explorer carrying 122lbs at $6.80. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot.

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