NZ - Hawera - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.9K

VIEW

Verdict

THE BIG PICTURE (1) was sent out as the favourite last time and finished a game runner-up by less than 2 lengths over 7f at Otaki nearly 3 weeks ago. The step up in trip looks ideal, and he is ready now to go one better. CAPTAIN STAN (2) produced a strong run when recording an overdue maiden win over 1m at New Plymouth a fortnight ago, when settling back in the field before unleashing a powerful finish to score by just over a length. Now that the penny has dropped, he can repeat the dose. SURROUND SOUND (4) failed to feature over 1 ¼m at New Plymouth last start after being slow away on a track that was heavier than he likes. This looks like a more suitable assignment, and he can bounce back into some good form. BUBBLES UP (7) scored fresh up in her penultimate start at New Plymouth but was below her best at Waverley last time out. The extra furlong will suit her, so don't drop her yet. EL JAYCEE (5) is heading the right way with her form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently 2nd of 10 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Bean A Pleasure with 127lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last of 11 at Trentham on January 31 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Hivari with 132lbs at $8.80. Rates highly. Should run well. 1st Pick 1 The Big Picture Jockey: Alan Lai Trainer: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley J: Alan Lai T: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley	71	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 10 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Bean A Pleasure with 127lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last of 11 at Trentham on January 31 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Hivari with 132lbs at $8.80. Rates highly. Should run well.
2	At the latest run favourite, won by 1.1 len at New Plymouth Raceway February 13 over 1m in heavy going defeating The King Of Jazz carrying 129lbs at $3. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Matamata on January 23 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Savvy Donna with 129lbs at $7.50. Looks the measuring stick. 2nd Pick 2 Captain Stan Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Stephen Autridge J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Stephen Autridge	93	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 1.1 len at New Plymouth Raceway February 13 over 1m in heavy going defeating The King Of Jazz carrying 129lbs at $3. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Matamata on January 23 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Savvy Donna with 129lbs at $7.50. Looks the measuring stick.
4	At the latest run second last of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Bruno with 128lbs at $3.70. The start before that 5th of 11 at Trentham on January 31 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Hoorah Henry carrying 126lbs at $16.30. Finds a nice race and can turn things around. 3rd Pick 4 Surround Sound Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: John Wheeler J: Samantha Collett T: John Wheeler	82	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run second last of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Bruno with 128lbs at $3.70. The start before that 5th of 11 at Trentham on January 31 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Hoorah Henry carrying 126lbs at $16.30. Finds a nice race and can turn things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.