NZ - Hawera - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

14.9K

VIEW

Verdict

MILLE GRAZIE (5) has been well supported at her past few runs and hasn't been far away, most recently finishing fourth at Te Aroha nearly 8 weeks ago. The recent freshen up would have done her no harm, and she has a big chance of getting the job done this time. DUDADAY (2) improved last time when beaten by little more than 2 lengths over 7f at Otaki after challenging strongly on the turn. He is nearing another win, and with a slight dip in grade, he will be hard to hold out. PADDY GIFT (11) is enduring a lengthy win drought and was again unplaced at Otaki last start, though his effort was his best in some time. He can pay the believers here. RISING WIND (3) has not been so good lately, but he is a top 4 hope here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 55-day let-up. Last start 4th of 8 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Small Town Girl with 128lbs at $2.70. Before that 4th of 12 at Matamata on December 19 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind God Of Eros with 128lbs at $3. Tough to beat if near her best. 1st Pick 5 Mille Grazie Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Samantha Logan J: Kelly Myers T: Samantha Logan	62	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 55-day let-up. Last start 4th of 8 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Small Town Girl with 128lbs at $2.70. Before that 4th of 12 at Matamata on December 19 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind God Of Eros with 128lbs at $3. Tough to beat if near her best.
2	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bean A Pleasure with 127lbs at $6.10. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 10 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 13 len behind Goldiluxe with 129lbs at $10.30. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out. 2nd Pick 2 Dudaday Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Cody Cole J: Samantha Collett T: Cody Cole	103	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bean A Pleasure with 127lbs at $6.10. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 10 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 13 len behind Goldiluxe with 129lbs at $10.30. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.
10	Is first-up after a break of a year and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 8 at Waverley February 28 over 1 m, soft track, 8 len behind Coulthard with 129lbs at $3.30. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway Mdn-Sw February 14 2025 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Bay Express carrying 129lbs at $5.40. Looks all set for a effective return. 3rd Pick 10 No More Pennies Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter Lock J: Non Runner T: Peter Lock	58	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Is first-up after a break of a year and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 8 at Waverley February 28 over 1 m, soft track, 8 len behind Coulthard with 129lbs at $3.30. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway Mdn-Sw February 14 2025 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Bay Express carrying 129lbs at $5.40. Looks all set for a effective return.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.