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2:53 AM

NZ - Hawera - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
14.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KING JAKKAL (1) has attracted market support in each of his 2 recent outings, most recently finishing a close fifth over 7f at Otaki nearly 3 weeks ago. He has needed time to mature, and he may have found the right field here. Stick with him. SCARLETT SPELL (5) was disappointing over 1m at Ellerslie last time out but had been narrowly beaten at the same track prior. Dropping back to a shorter trip will suit her, and from a superior gate, she can bounce straight back into the money. TSUNAMI SUE (7) made an encouraging debut when finishing strongly for third over 5 ½f at New Plymouth. With natural improvement, she should be included in all top 4 combos. TSUNAMI SUE (7) is a big each-way chance. MAJOR HOULIHAN (10) can cause an upset at big ods.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Solid Gold silk

Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Swiss Prince with 119lbs at $7.60. On debut fourth of 8 at Taupo September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Places To Be carrying 122lbs at $1.90. Everything points to a effective return.

1st Pick
6

Solid Gold

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Non Runner

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

87---27%11/4

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Swiss Prince with 119lbs at $7.60. On debut fourth of 8 at Taupo September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Places To Be carrying 122lbs at $1.90. Everything points to a effective return.

1
King Jakkal silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Otaki on January 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Sassalita with 127lbs at $5.70. Last start 5th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Under Orders carrying 127lbs at $5. Capable of testing this field on his best efforts.

2nd Pick
1

King Jakkal

Jockey: Kelly Myers

Trainer: Allan Sharrock

J: Kelly Myers

T: Allan Sharrock

120---10%9/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Otaki on January 9 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Sassalita with 127lbs at $5.70. Last start 5th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Under Orders carrying 127lbs at $5. Capable of testing this field on his best efforts.

5
Scarlett Spell silk

Last start got back early 10th of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Burnerphone carrying 122lbs at $6.40. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Ellerslie on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Atkins with 119lbs at $25.50. Best efforts give her a live chance.

3rd Pick
5

Scarlett Spell

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Maxim & Samantha Van Lierde

J: Samantha Collett

T: Maxim & Samantha Van Lierde

145---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start got back early 10th of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Burnerphone carrying 122lbs at $6.40. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Ellerslie on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Atkins with 119lbs at $25.50. Best efforts give her a live chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.