NZ - Hawera - Race 4

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS FIREBALL (11) beaten favourite in her last 4 starts, the last 2 in tough Riccarton Cup week fields and had no luck when dragged back by a tiring runner last start. Strong win from on the pace before failing in the G2 Wellington Guineas back in March 2025. Respect here. CLASSY BRAHMA (7) has placed 12 times in 16 starts with a win as well. Usually on the pace but got back last time & made up many lengths. Danger. TOO SWEET (10) stalked the leaders & tried hard but no match for the winner when fresh at Trentham last time. Stick with her. PEE BEE GIRL (13) scored a nice win 2 back in May when capitalising on a gun run. Can add value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Resuming today after a break of 11 months. Finished off last preparation 13th of 15 at Riccarton Park November 15 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 29 len behind Bundy with 128lbs at $3.90. First up last campaign fourth of 10 at Waverley September 28 2025 over 6f, soft track, 3 len behind Velton with 126lbs at $2. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 11 Miss Fireball Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Bill Thurlow J: Lily Sutherland T: Bill Thurlow	65	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Resuming today after a break of 11 months. Finished off last preparation 13th of 15 at Riccarton Park November 15 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 29 len behind Bundy with 128lbs at $3.90. First up last campaign fourth of 10 at Waverley September 28 2025 over 6f, soft track, 3 len behind Velton with 126lbs at $2. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign.
7	Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Trentham on September 19 over 5f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Carlow with 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Laura's Legacy with 128lbs at $8. Rates highly and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 7 Classy Brahma Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Trudy & Vaughan Keegan J: Elen Nicholas T: Trudy & Vaughan Keegan	150	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Trentham on September 19 over 5f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Carlow with 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Laura's Legacy with 128lbs at $8. Rates highly and can go on with it.
10	Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 9 at Trentham on September 19 over 5f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Carlow carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 at Wanganui on April 18 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Kereti with 125lbs at $2.80. Hard to beat. 3rd Pick 10 Too Sweet Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Roydon Bergerson J: Kelly Myers T: Roydon Bergerson	146	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 9 at Trentham on September 19 over 5f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Carlow carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 at Wanganui on April 18 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Kereti with 125lbs at $2.80. Hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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