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2:14 AM

NZ - Hawera - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
14.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LEDHAVEN CASSIE (7) showed good early speed and fought on gamely when runner-up over 5 ½f at New Plymouth a fortnight ago. She is peaking at the right time and is well overdue for her first win. Stick with her. ETUPIRKA (13) makes her debut for the Stephen Autridge stable. By U S Navy Flag, she impressed in a recent Ellerslie trial, and she has the right profile to make an immediate impact in a field like this. QUE SYRAH SYRAH (5) got too far back off a wide gate at Te Rapa last start, but he has shown enough ability at the trials to warrant serious consideration in this field, especially with Craig Grylls in the saddle from a good draw. CHIBRAH (3) will be peaking third up, and from a good draw, he won't be far away. Include in all combinations. TREASURE TROVE (4) is getting fitter, and he is not out of this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Ledhaven Cassie silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 8 at Otaki on January 9 over 6f, 0.4 len behind Fawnzor with 125lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Bellatrix carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Can improve. Winning chance.

1st Pick
7

Ledhaven Cassie

Jockey: M Hudson

Trainer: Murray Blue

J: M Hudson

T: Murray Blue

138---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 8 at Otaki on January 9 over 6f, 0.4 len behind Fawnzor with 125lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway on February 13 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Bellatrix carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Can improve. Winning chance.

8
Ivy Time silk

At the latest run 5th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Riomosa with 122lbs at $4.10. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Wanganui on January 19 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Bolli Belle carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Nicely placed and gets her chance to bounce back.

2nd Pick
8

Ivy Time

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Allan Sharrock

J: Non Runner

T: Allan Sharrock

144---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Riomosa with 122lbs at $4.10. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Wanganui on January 19 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Bolli Belle carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Nicely placed and gets her chance to bounce back.

13
Etupirka silk

Three-year-old filly making debut by U S Navy Flag out of Auntie Condor. Won a barrier trial at Ellerslie over 4f February 10. Looks all set to run well.

3rd Pick
13

Etupirka

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Stephen Autridge

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Stephen Autridge

50---19%9/2

Analysis

Three-year-old filly making debut by U S Navy Flag out of Auntie Condor. Won a barrier trial at Ellerslie over 4f February 10. Looks all set to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.