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51 Min Till Start

NZ - Hawera - Race 1

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.4f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
14.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHE SUITS HERSELF (8) remains a maiden after four starts but hasn't been far away, most recently finishing fourth over 1 5/16m at Tauranga. That effort had merit and, in a field lacking depth, she rates strongly and looks to be the one to beat. DUN TALKIN' (3) has yet to fire this preparation, finishing ninth over 1m at Te Rapa last time out. The extra 2 ½f is the key here, and he has the ability to improve sharply against this modest opposition. STARPELLO (2) has been mixing his form, and he wasn't disgraced when sixth over 1m at Waipukurau, beaten by 3 and a half lengths. He maps to enjoy a soft run just off the speed and shapes as one of the top 4 chances. KAZ CAZ (7) has been below his best at his past two starts, the latest over 1 ¼m at New Plymouth. He won't lack fitness, and he can improve to figure in the top 4. NOT USUAL MOANA (9) will be peaking at her third career start, and stepping out to 1 5/16m will suit her. Include in all combinations at price.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
She Suits Herself silk

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at Tauranga on February 5 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Astarte carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway in the LR Oaks Prelude on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind Acer with 125lbs at $15.30. Great chance to break through.

1st Pick
8

She Suits Herself

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

285---58%8/11

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at Tauranga on February 5 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Astarte carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway in the LR Oaks Prelude on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind Acer with 125lbs at $15.30. Great chance to break through.

3
Dun Talkin' silk

Third-up today. First-up 7th of 14 at Tauranga on January 8 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Ivy's Dancer with 129lbs at $7. Second-up 9th of 14 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Volunteer with 129lbs at $23.60. Great chance to break through.

2nd Pick
3

Dun Talkin'

Jockey: Jonathan Riddell

Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

J: Jonathan Riddell

T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

102---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 7th of 14 at Tauranga on January 8 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Ivy's Dancer with 129lbs at $7. Second-up 9th of 14 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Volunteer with 129lbs at $23.60. Great chance to break through.

2
Starpello silk

At the latest run 6th of 9 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Speedie O'reilly with 129lbs at $4.50. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Waverley on January 28 over 1 m, slow going 0.3 len behind Zaravela carrying 127lbs at $12.80. Plenty to like about his prospects.

3rd Pick
2

Starpello

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Lisa Latta

J: Amber Riddell

T: Lisa Latta

92---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 9 at Waipukurau on February 15 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Speedie O'reilly with 129lbs at $4.50. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Waverley on January 28 over 1 m, slow going 0.3 len behind Zaravela carrying 127lbs at $12.80. Plenty to like about his prospects.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.