NZ - Hastings - Race 9

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.1f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

307.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

TUXEDO (2) charged home for 3rd in the G1 Bonecrusher NZ Stakes in March and was sound when fresh in the G1 Proisir Plate. Charged home again but just missed behind Waitak in the G1 Mile last time. Take holding out here. WAITAK (1) is a grand campaigner who got too far back when fresh in the G1 Proisir fresh but handier in midfield and got home well last time. Danger again. LUPO SOLITARIO (7) charged home to win the G3 Easter Hcp in April. Solid in the G1 Proisir before making good ground behind Waitak last time. Peaking now. SHE'S A DEALER (10) won the G1 NZ Breeders Stks last prep and is another improving through the G1 Priosir and G1 Mile. Keep safe here. ATMOSPHERIC (6) Came a long way last prep culminating in the LR 1m win in April. Another peaking 3rd up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $20.70. Last start 2nd of 14 in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m, slow going 0.1 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $6.50. One of the chief contenders. 1st Pick 2 Tuxedo Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Opie Bosson T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	172	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $20.70. Last start 2nd of 14 in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m, slow going 0.1 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $6.50. One of the chief contenders.
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early 11th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $49.70. Last start came from midfield and won by a 0.1 len in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m on a soft track defeating Tuxedo carrying 130lbs at $7.10. In form, winning hope. 2nd Pick 1 Waitak Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Craig Grylls T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	165	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early 11th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $49.70. Last start came from midfield and won by a 0.1 len in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m on a soft track defeating Tuxedo carrying 130lbs at $7.10. In form, winning hope.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 8th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $86.40. Last start 5th of 14 in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $30. Hard to fault if anywhere near right. 3rd Pick 7 Lupo Solitario Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Danica Guy J: Michael Mcnab T: Danica Guy	105	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 8th of 16 in the G1 Proisir Plate at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Well Written carrying 130lbs at $86.40. Last start 5th of 14 in the G1 Horlicks Plate at this track on September 26 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $30. Hard to fault if anywhere near right.

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Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.