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1:24 AM

NZ - Hastings - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
56.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NAVY DREAMS (5) charged home from midfield but just missed when first-up for this new stable here last month. Showed a lot of promise last season. Nicely placed here. FIRST UP (6) kept in front of Navy Dreams in the midfield here last time & got the job done. Is 3lbs worse off against Navy Dreams this time though. IFBYMAGIC (2) was first-up since February when he tracked up a nice trial win with an arrogant maiden win at Matamata recently. Extra 1f shouldn't be a problem here. PERFORMER (3) yet to put a foot wrong with his biggest margin in a race being the 3L win last month. Can he replicate that form on a better track is the question. BUNKER HILL (1) unleashed a big run from the rear to break his maiden last time. Adds interest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Navy Dreams silk

Second-up. First-up after six months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 26 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind First Up carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 9th of 11 in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas at Te Rapa on September 27 2025 over 7f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Magic Carpet with 126lbs at $7.60. Fitter and worth following up.

1st Pick
5

Navy Dreams

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Stephen Marsh

145---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after six months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 26 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind First Up carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 9th of 11 in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas at Te Rapa on September 27 2025 over 7f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Magic Carpet with 126lbs at $7.60. Fitter and worth following up.

6
First Up silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 12 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Miss Magnetica carrying 121lbs at $31.30. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track on September 26 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Navy Dreams with 121lbs at $35.50. Impressed last start. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
6

First Up

Jockey: Courtney Barnes

Trainer: Caitlin Mckee

J: Courtney Barnes

T: Caitlin Mckee

122---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 12 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Miss Magnetica carrying 121lbs at $31.30. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track on September 26 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Navy Dreams with 121lbs at $35.50. Impressed last start. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2
Ifbymagic silk

Second run back. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 1.75 len at Matamata on September 16 over 6f on a soft track defeating No Curfew with 129lbs at $3. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Pukekohe on January 18 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Gallinda carrying 126lbs at $8.80. Shapes as a leading chance again.

3rd Pick
2

Ifbymagic

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Joe Doyle

T: Cody Cole

96---15%6/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 1.75 len at Matamata on September 16 over 6f on a soft track defeating No Curfew with 129lbs at $3. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Pukekohe on January 18 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Gallinda carrying 126lbs at $8.80. Shapes as a leading chance again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.