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12:14 midnight

NZ - Hastings - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
9.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
36.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PACIFIC PRINCESS (7) put in a good late run from midfield when fresh here two back then was a touch closer and got the job done here last time. Respect again. TULSA KING (8) put in fair efforts over shorter trips before looming turn and charging home for 3rd over 1 5/16m here last time. Stick with him. STELLA SUCCESS (5) tried hard in a similar race here last month when got back early from the inside barrier. Solid chance again here. IDENTIKIT (3) fair efforts of late when not a mile away in similar races. Has a win at this distance. Keep safe. BILLY BLINX (10) stayed handy to the pace and tried hard behind dead-heat winners last start at Te Rapa. Can add some value here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Pacific Princess silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Subiaco carrying 125lbs at $13.90. Last start came from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track on September 26 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Eliud carrying 127lbs at $10.80. Racing well. Rates highly and is sure to run well.

1st Pick
7

Pacific Princess

Jockey: Kavish Chowdhoory

Trainer: John Bary

J: Kavish Chowdhoory

T: John Bary

120---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Subiaco carrying 125lbs at $13.90. Last start came from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track on September 26 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Eliud carrying 127lbs at $10.80. Racing well. Rates highly and is sure to run well.

8
Tulsa King silk

Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on September 26 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.5 len behind Pacific Princess carrying 132lbs at $6.50. The start before that ran second last of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, in the wet, 5 len behind Subiaco with 132lbs at $8.30. Has ability and is expected to run well.

2nd Pick
8

Tulsa King

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Aaron Bidlake

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Aaron Bidlake

88---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on September 26 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.5 len behind Pacific Princess carrying 132lbs at $6.50. The start before that ran second last of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, in the wet, 5 len behind Subiaco with 132lbs at $8.30. Has ability and is expected to run well.

5
Stella Success silk

Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 12 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Arksey with 121lbs at $8.90. The race before that 5th of 8 at this track on August 22 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Malachy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
5

Stella Success

Jockey: Lily Sutherland

Trainer: Joshua Lavelle & Sacha Rennie

J: Lily Sutherland

T: Joshua Lavelle & Sacha Rennie

72---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 12 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Arksey with 121lbs at $8.90. The race before that 5th of 8 at this track on August 22 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Malachy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.