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1:58 AM

NZ - Hastings - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
36.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CONISTON (2) was very green on debut but improved on that when looming up from midfield and running away late at Matamata last time. Take beating again. VINTAGE ROSE (9) got well back early but reeled them in and knuckled down gamely to score on debut at Matamata. Respect again here. SHIRASE (7) loomed up to them on the turn and got home in a tight finish last start at Te Rapa. McNab sticks with him after also winning on Coniston and Vintage Rose last start. FORTUNATO (3) scored a narrow but nice win on debut then outclassed in the G2 Hawkes Bay Guineas here last time when raced greenly. May pay to forgive. INCANDESCENT (1) won the LR Champagne Stakes back in May and caught the eye from the back when fresh last month. Adds depth here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Coniston silk

Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Matamata on September 16 over 7f in soft going defeating Vodka And Caviar with 127lbs at $1.40. Sure to measure up.

1st Pick
2

Coniston

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Joe Doyle

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

81---25%3/1

Analysis

Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Matamata on September 16 over 7f in soft going defeating Vodka And Caviar with 127lbs at $1.40. Sure to measure up.

9
Vintage Rose silk

Was well in the market at debut, won settled well back, won by a long-neck at Matamata on September 16 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Able Dancer with 121lbs at $4.40. Better for that run and can go on with it.

2nd Pick
9

Vintage Rose

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

115---16%11/2

Analysis

Was well in the market at debut, won settled well back, won by a long-neck at Matamata on September 16 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Able Dancer with 121lbs at $4.40. Better for that run and can go on with it.

7
Shirase silk

Third race start today. At debut, 4th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Second-up favourite, won by a 0.2 len at Te Rapa on September 13 over 6f in the wet defeating Joyeuse carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Fitter and open to further improvement.

3rd Pick
7

Shirase

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Tony Pike

115---25%3/1

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, 4th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Second-up favourite, won by a 0.2 len at Te Rapa on September 13 over 6f in the wet defeating Joyeuse carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Fitter and open to further improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.