NZ - Hastings - Race 3

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 8

29.6K

VIEW

Verdict

KNOCK OFF (5) bounced back into some good form again when finishing runner-up at Otaki just over 3 weeks ago, and his best is more than good enough to take this out. Follow your money. AMIRA D'ARGENTO (4) broke through for a deserved win at New Plymouth a week ago, and she maps to receive the run of the race here. The rise in class will hold no fears for her, and she can repeat the dose. BELARDO BOY (1) has been mixing his form this prep, but this is the right race for him, and as long as the track is heavy, he is capable of winning this. BENEFACTOR (3) sat back and was too strong for the top pick last time out, and even with an extra 4lbs to carry, she can repeat the dose. THE ENTERTAINER (6) needed the run when finishing fourth fresh up at Hawera nearly a fortnight ago. She will be a quick improver in this. MANZOR BLUE (2) resumes from a spell over a trip that is well short of her best, but she still can't be ignored, so keep her safe in the small field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Last start led but faded 2nd of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Benefactor carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 in the LR WangJC AGC Training (Jackson) Stakes at Wanganui on May 30 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Electron carrying 130lbs at $46. Made headway last time. Likely to measure up again. 1st Pick 5 Knock Off Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Gerard Cvitanovich J: Leah Hemi T: Gerard Cvitanovich	109	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start led but faded 2nd of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Benefactor carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 in the LR WangJC AGC Training (Jackson) Stakes at Wanganui on May 30 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Electron carrying 130lbs at $46. Made headway last time. Likely to measure up again.
4	Racing well recently. Last start won by 2.5 len at New Plymouth Raceway on August 15 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Dubai's Potiki carrying 121lbs at $7.70. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Te Rapa on August 8 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Astoria Brooke carrying 112lbs at $3.60. Confidence high and looks hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 4 Amira D'argento Jockey: Abinith Simon Trainer: Taui Johnson J: Abinith Simon T: Taui Johnson	105	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start won by 2.5 len at New Plymouth Raceway on August 15 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Dubai's Potiki carrying 121lbs at $7.70. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Te Rapa on August 8 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Astoria Brooke carrying 112lbs at $3.60. Confidence high and looks hard to beat again.
1	Most recently ran last of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 12 len behind Benefactor carrying 126lbs at $4.90. The race before that 11th of 14 in the LR Opunake Cup at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 7f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Prioress with 128lbs at $22. Well placed and among the chances. 3rd Pick 1 Belardo Boy Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Amber Riddell T: Lisa Latta	128	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently ran last of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 12 len behind Benefactor carrying 126lbs at $4.90. The race before that 11th of 14 in the LR Opunake Cup at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 7f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Prioress with 128lbs at $22. Well placed and among the chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.