Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

149.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SUPREME AGILITY (1) got the job done here two back in a photo before pulling up with an issue at Happy Valley before the break. He's been back to the trials sine where he moved well recently on this surface. Chau sticks from the latest trial and if he can be at his best, he'll take beating from a good gate. BULL ATTITUDE (10) has closed off strongly his past couple, just missing out by 1.3L at the latest performance. He's likely to get back from the barrier, but he's racing in top order and if he gets things to suit up front, he'll be hard to hold out. NEVER PETER OUT (4) stuck on well from the front last time out, beaten 1.8L at this track and trip. Zac Purton hops on board from an inside draw now, so he'll have options in the early stages. Can play a leading role. NIGHT PUROSANGUE (13) has enough speed to roll across from the wide draw and will take catching with no weight on his back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Happy Valley November 26 over 1m, 4 len behind Ocean Impact with 134lbs at $6.40. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Happy Valley September 17 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Forever Folks carrying 130lbs at $5.70. Could prove too smart for these. 1st Pick 1 Supreme Agility Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Jerry Chau T: Pierre Ng	77	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Happy Valley November 26 over 1m, 4 len behind Ocean Impact with 134lbs at $6.40. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Happy Valley September 17 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Forever Folks carrying 130lbs at $5.70. Could prove too smart for these.
10	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on March 15 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Nezha with 121lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind California Star carrying 122lbs at $9.20. Encouraging effort last start. Finds a nice race and can feature on his best form. 2nd Pick 10 Bull Attitude Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Lyle Hewitson T: Mark Newnham	118	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on March 15 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Nezha with 121lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind California Star carrying 122lbs at $9.20. Encouraging effort last start. Finds a nice race and can feature on his best form.
4	Last start 5th of 14 at this track on March 15 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Nezha carrying 130lbs at $13. The run before that 6th of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind California Star with 132lbs at $15. Will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 4 Never Peter Out Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: F C Lor J: Zac Purton T: F C Lor	124	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Last start 5th of 14 at this track on March 15 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Nezha carrying 130lbs at $13. The run before that 6th of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind California Star with 132lbs at $15. Will be hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.