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12:05 noon

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 9

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
ALL WEATHER
237.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CELESTIAL HERO (4) was very good on a wet track last start when only 0.8L off the winner. He was sound prior to that effort, though he was ridden closer last start and that looked to play a massive role in the finish. If Bowman can adopt similar tactics from the draw today, he'll be hard to hold out. SPICY STANDARD (12) pulled up with an issue last start when disappointing as the race favourite following a narrow defeat two starts back. He remains down in the weights today and proved he was up to this grade two back when doing it tough throughout. Expecting him to bounce back in a big way. GUSTOSISIMO (1) was much better last start when dropping to this grade and finishing 1.3L away. Purton rides now from a much better draw and he can make his presence felt again. EFFORTLESS WIN (6) bolted in to win his Hong Kong debut and hasn't taken a backward step judging by his last trial. Can repeat the dose.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Celestial Hero silk

Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Thunder Kit with 132lbs at $5.10. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Geneva carrying 130lbs at $7.40. Making headway. Will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
4

Celestial Hero

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: D Whyte

J: Hugh Bowman

T: D Whyte

103---8%13/1

Analysis

Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Thunder Kit with 132lbs at $5.10. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Geneva carrying 130lbs at $7.40. Making headway. Will take plenty of beating.

12
Spicy Standard silk

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start 7th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Effortless Win carrying 117lbs at $3.10. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on April 12 over 6f, nose behind Flashing Fighter carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Key chance expected to feature.

2nd Pick
12

Spicy Standard

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: John Size

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: John Size

78---8%13/1

Analysis

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start 7th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Effortless Win carrying 117lbs at $3.10. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on April 12 over 6f, nose behind Flashing Fighter carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Key chance expected to feature.

1
Gustosisimo silk

Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 14 at this track on May 24 over 6f, 1.3 len behind My Mars carrying 133lbs at $28. The run before that eased back early on 9th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Patch Of Stars carrying 114lbs at $67. Looks set for another big run.

3rd Pick
1

Gustosisimo

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: A S Cruz

J: Zac Purton

T: A S Cruz

160---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 14 at this track on May 24 over 6f, 1.3 len behind My Mars carrying 133lbs at $28. The run before that eased back early on 9th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Patch Of Stars carrying 114lbs at $67. Looks set for another big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.