Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

519.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

Keen to see MASSIVE SOVEREIGN (6) back in action for the new stable, having switched to the Eustace barn since his last run in November. He's trialled sharply coming into this and Purton remains in the saddle for his return. He's won twice when first-up in the past and he looks ready to return to his best form. PATCH OF THETA (5) has had plenty of market support in recent races but just seems to find one better. Bowman hops back in the saddle and stepping up to the mile looks a big tick. He can put his best foot forward again. BEAUTY JOY (1) stormed home to win The Premier Plate last start at G3 level over 1 ?m. He rises in weight on the back of that win, but he was rather impressive and a repeat effort will see him hard to hold out again. HAPPY TOGETHER (4) was close over 7f last start in The Premier Cup and has to be included stepping out to the mile again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Back after a long spell. Only had one start last preparation 6th of 14 at this track in the G3 Sa Sa Ladies' Purse on November 3 over 1m, 3 len behind Ensued with 123lbs at $2.40. Won previous preparation first up favourite, won by 3 len at this track March 3 2024 over 1 ¼m defeating Simple Hedge carrying 129lbs at $9.10. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting a bright start to the prep. 1st Pick 6 Massive Sovereign Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Eustace J: Zac Purton T: David Eustace	103	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Back after a long spell. Only had one start last preparation 6th of 14 at this track in the G3 Sa Sa Ladies' Purse on November 3 over 1m, 3 len behind Ensued with 123lbs at $2.40. Won previous preparation first up favourite, won by 3 len at this track March 3 2024 over 1 ¼m defeating Simple Hedge carrying 129lbs at $9.10. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting a bright start to the prep.
5	Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track in the G3 Premier Cup on June 22 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Copartner Prance carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track in the G3 Sha Tin Vase on May 31 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Helios Express carrying 115lbs at $3.70. Up in trip and is worth some thought. 2nd Pick 5 Patch Of Theta Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: K W Lui J: Hugh Bowman T: K W Lui	101	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track in the G3 Premier Cup on June 22 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Copartner Prance carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track in the G3 Sha Tin Vase on May 31 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Helios Express carrying 115lbs at $3.70. Up in trip and is worth some thought.
1	At the latest run won by 1.3 len at this track G3 Premier Plate June 22 over 1m defeating Cap Ferrat carrying 129lbs at $12. The race before that 9th of 11 at this track in the G3 Lion Rock Trophy on May 31 over 1m, 4 len behind Pray For Mir carrying 129lbs at $7.30. One of the chances. 3rd Pick 1 Beauty Joy Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: A S Cruz J: Derek Leung T: A S Cruz	104	-	-	-	8%
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.3 len at this track G3 Premier Plate June 22 over 1m defeating Cap Ferrat carrying 129lbs at $12. The race before that 9th of 11 at this track in the G3 Lion Rock Trophy on May 31 over 1m, 4 len behind Pray For Mir carrying 129lbs at $7.30. One of the chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.