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8:45 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GRAND PATCH (6) looks set to pick up from where he left off after running over the top to score at this track and trip before the break. He's trialled sweetly since and he's a lightly raced gelding with stacks of upside. He's trending the right way and can go back-to-back to begin the new season. JOYFUL JOY (1) won impreessively at a big price on debut before a 1.5L defeat before the break. He had a very quiet trial coming into this with Bowman on board and he sticks for the fresh effort. Looks set to raise the bar. SOLID CAR (8) is likely to get back from the wide draw, but he flew home to just miss as favourite before the break. He's had a quiet trial coming in and if he gets some luck in running, watch for him late in the race. MASTER LUCKY (2) ticks a few boxes after winning at the end of last season and won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Grand Patch silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 56-day let-up. Last start came from midfield and won by a head at this track on July 12 over 7f defeating Ka Ying Glory with 127lbs at $4.70. The start before that 3rd of 13 at this track on June 21 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Come Fast Fay Fay with 127lbs at $36. Sure to go close.

1st Pick
6

Grand Patch

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Vincent Ho

T: Manfred Man

81---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 56-day let-up. Last start came from midfield and won by a head at this track on July 12 over 7f defeating Ka Ying Glory with 127lbs at $4.70. The start before that 3rd of 13 at this track on June 21 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Come Fast Fay Fay with 127lbs at $36. Sure to go close.

1
Joyful Joy silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 14 at this track June 27 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Master Lucky carrying 134lbs at $2.60. On debut favourite, won by 1.5 len this track May 31 over 7f defeating Gallant Design carrying 127lbs at $54. Key runner.

2nd Pick
1

Joyful Joy

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: Mark Newnham

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Mark Newnham

108---25%3/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 14 at this track June 27 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Master Lucky carrying 134lbs at $2.60. On debut favourite, won by 1.5 len this track May 31 over 7f defeating Gallant Design carrying 127lbs at $54. Key runner.

8
Solid Car silk

Comes off a 56 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Prestige Always with 127lbs at $3.60. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 2 len behind Master Lucky carrying 128lbs at $14. Big chance to find winning form.

3rd Pick
8

Solid Car

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: David Hall

J: James Orman

T: David Hall

75---8%12/1

Analysis

Comes off a 56 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Prestige Always with 127lbs at $3.60. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 2 len behind Master Lucky carrying 128lbs at $14. Big chance to find winning form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.