Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

STORM MIRROR (1) has the right profile after winning at this track last start by just under two lengths, and the 7lbs claim helps him stay well placed despite the big weight. Expect him to roll forward from the barrier again and be very tough to run down. GRAND PATCH (5) is the clear danger after finishing second to Mr Cool and being held up two back before running on late, first-time blinkers add a useful edge and while he has drawn out, that doesn't hurt with his racing pattern. LET'S HAVE FUN (13) brings last-start winning form after finishing off strongly over 6f and remains fit enough to keep progressing. PRESTIGE COME (10) is still a maiden, but his first-up second behind Solid Car was a genuine step forward and gives him a live winning hope if he repeats it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Won at this track last start on good ground, beating Tin Fook by just under two lengths and confirming his liking for this venue. His previous 11th as a well-supported favourite was below his best, but he is now third-up, has won at the distance, and the 7lbs claim is a genuine help with 134lbs. Brings the best recent winning case and sets the standard. 1st Pick 1 Storm Mirror Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Nichola Yuen T: Pierre Ng	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Won at this track last start on good ground, beating Tin Fook by just under two lengths and confirming his liking for this venue. His previous 11th as a well-supported favourite was below his best, but he is now third-up, has won at the distance, and the 7lbs claim is a genuine help with 134lbs. Brings the best recent winning case and sets the standard.
5	Has held his form well at this track, finishing second to Mr Cool last start when sent out favourite and beaten two lengths. Two back he was held up more than once before running on for fourth, so there is more merit in the recent form than the bare margins. Beaten by Mr Cool last time, but his profile still reads strongly. 2nd Pick 5 Grand Patch Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Manfred Man J: Vincent Ho T: Manfred Man	115	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Has held his form well at this track, finishing second to Mr Cool last start when sent out favourite and beaten two lengths. Two back he was held up more than once before running on for fourth, so there is more merit in the recent form than the bare margins. Beaten by Mr Cool last time, but his profile still reads strongly.
13	Closed off strongly to win at this track last start, beating Noble Superior by half a length after being considered only an outside chance in betting. The run prior was sound when fifth behind Flowing Riches, and Matthew Poon stays with him after winning on him last time. Fit enough to be a serious winning chance again. 3rd Pick 13 Let's Have Fun Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: David A Hayes J: Matthew Poon T: David A Hayes	91	-	-	-	6%	17/1
Analysis Closed off strongly to win at this track last start, beating Noble Superior by half a length after being considered only an outside chance in betting. The run prior was sound when fifth behind Flowing Riches, and Matthew Poon stays with him after winning on him last time. Fit enough to be a serious winning chance again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.