Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

CONRAD PATCH (6) has been solid in his first two starts, missing by 1.3L most recently as the race favourite. He now gets Hugh Bowman in the saddle in a race that shapes similarly to his last start. Looks to have found a winnable race third-up and can get the job done this time. VOYAGE BOSS (5) flew home to miss by 1.8L at this track and trip most recently after going back from the wide draw. He loses Purton, but he draws to sit much closer this time around and he continues to trend the right way. Can get back to winning ways. ISLAND BUDDY (3) sat on the speed to make it back-to-back wins since joining the Brett Crawford yard. He'll spend some petrol to roll across from the draw, but he's racing well and can give himself every chance from the front once again. HAPPY SHOOTER (4) was too good last time out and has since trialled well. No reason why he can't go on with the job.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Raced twice to date. At debut, sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hot Delight carrying 127lbs at $16. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on February 8 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Island Buddy carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Brings the right form to the table. Rates highly is expected to go well. 1st Pick 6 Conrad Patch Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: W K Mo J: Hugh Bowman T: W K Mo	131	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hot Delight carrying 127lbs at $16. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on February 8 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Island Buddy carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Brings the right form to the table. Rates highly is expected to go well.
5	At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on February 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Island Buddy carrying 134lbs at $4.10. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on January 7 over 6f, 2 len behind Straight To Glory carrying 132lbs at $2.90. Will prove hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 5 Voyage Boss Jockey: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle Trainer: F C Lor J: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle T: F C Lor	122	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on February 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Island Buddy carrying 134lbs at $4.10. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on January 7 over 6f, 2 len behind Straight To Glory carrying 132lbs at $2.90. Will prove hard to beat again.
3	Third-up today. Resuming won by a nose at this track January 25 over 6f defeating Packing Glory carrying 118lbs at $9.50. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track February 8 over 6f defeating Malpensa with 128lbs at $10. Profiles nicely. Expected to go well again. 3rd Pick 3 Island Buddy Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	127	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming won by a nose at this track January 25 over 6f defeating Packing Glory carrying 118lbs at $9.50. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track February 8 over 6f defeating Malpensa with 128lbs at $10. Profiles nicely. Expected to go well again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.