Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PAPAYA BROSE (1) was too good on debut before getting a mile back over 7f and hitting the line strongly before the break. Back to 6f now off a short break and one trial at Happy Valley where he closed off nicely and Moreira sticks from that outing. Can land the knockout blow this time. NAVAS G (4) missed narrowly over this course and distance 21 days ago on debut when sticking on gamely as a $16 chance. Yuen's claim comes in handy and he should be prominent in the run yet again from a good draw. Should be better for the debut run and can get the job done this time. BETTER AND BETTER (10) won two back in narrow fashion before bumping into a good winner last time out, though he was best of the rest. May end up back in the run from the draw, but watch for him flying late in the race. LITTLE MONSTER (11) rates highly on his recent form and can make an impression coming back to this track and trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at this track March 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Endeared carrying 134lbs at $2.70. On debut favourite, won by 1.5 len this track February 19 over 6f defeating Prestige Hall with 127lbs at $21. Certain to be right in the mix. 1st Pick 1 Papaya Brose Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	106	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at this track March 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Endeared carrying 134lbs at $2.70. On debut favourite, won by 1.5 len this track February 19 over 6f defeating Prestige Hall with 127lbs at $21. Certain to be right in the mix.
4	At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Packing King carrying 116lbs at $16. Will be there at the business end. 2nd Pick 4 Navas G Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: D Whyte J: Nichola Yuen T: D Whyte	165	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Packing King carrying 116lbs at $16. Will be there at the business end.
10	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Mr Incredible carrying 121lbs at $6.20. The race before that won by a head at this track March 29 over 6f defeating Vigor Eye with 120lbs at $4.90. In a suitable race and is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 10 Better And Better Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: F C Lor J: Alex Badel T: F C Lor	108	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Mr Incredible carrying 121lbs at $6.20. The race before that won by a head at this track March 29 over 6f defeating Vigor Eye with 120lbs at $4.90. In a suitable race and is a winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.