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5:10 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
111.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DRACO (10) earns top billing after winning at this track and distance two starts ago, then closing off nicely as a well-supported favourite when fifth behind Vigor Elleegant. He has a useful record over this course and trip and looks well placed third-up to turn that recent defeat around. VIGOR ELLEEGANT (5) scored by two lengths here last start and beating Draco in the process. Drawn wider now and rises in weight, but he's trialled well since and the margin there wa substantial. No reason why he can't win again. SUPREME WINNER (13) took a sharp step forward when second at this venue, beaten just over a length. Needs a touch of luck but he's down in the weights and racing well. ONLY U (12) returned with a solid fourth on the All Weather, has Purton aboard and an inside draw. There's plenty to like about him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Draco silk

Won well at this track and distance two starts ago, beating Fortune Kingo by a length as favourite, then closed off nicely when fifth behind Vigor Elleegant, beaten three lengths as a well-supported favourite. That recent defeat is not terminal, with his track-distance record and third-up profile still reading strongly. Strong profile and the one to beat.

1st Pick
10

Draco

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Derek Leung

T: W K Mo

127---8%12/1

Analysis

Won well at this track and distance two starts ago, beating Fortune Kingo by a length as favourite, then closed off nicely when fifth behind Vigor Elleegant, beaten three lengths as a well-supported favourite. That recent defeat is not terminal, with his track-distance record and third-up profile still reading strongly. Strong profile and the one to beat.

5
Vigor Elleegant silk

Broke through strongly at this track last start, beating Aquaman by two lengths after settling midfield, and that win also gave him the recent edge over Draco. He was only fair first-up at Happy Valley, but the move back to this venue clearly suited. Wide draw is a query, but the winning case is strong.

2nd Pick
5

Vigor Elleegant

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Jerry Chau

T: Manfred Man

96---6%16/1

Analysis

Broke through strongly at this track last start, beating Aquaman by two lengths after settling midfield, and that win also gave him the recent edge over Draco. He was only fair first-up at Happy Valley, but the move back to this venue clearly suited. Wide draw is a query, but the winning case is strong.

13
Supreme Winner silk

Lifted second-up when second at this track, beaten just over a length after chasing the leaders into the straight. That was a clear step forward from his ninth first-up, where he made only minor ground and was unwanted in the market. Still chasing a track-distance win, but right in this.

3rd Pick
13

Supreme Winner

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: D Whyte

J: Alex Badel

T: D Whyte

88---7%14/1

Analysis

Lifted second-up when second at this track, beaten just over a length after chasing the leaders into the straight. That was a clear step forward from his ninth first-up, where he made only minor ground and was unwanted in the market. Still chasing a track-distance win, but right in this.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.