Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 10

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

238.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LITTLE PARADISE (1) got the job done two back before a 0.3L defeat last time out over this course and distance. Purton remains with the gelding and he has the speed to slot in from a tricky draw. Looks a gelding on the rise and he can continue to work his way through the grades. TOP DRAGON (2) won easily here 42 days ago and has been back to the rails since, winning nicely under J-Mac who sticks with him today. Likely to get back from the draw once again, but only rises 4lbs for the win here and rates highly on that performance. BUCEPHALAS (12) jumped a $8 chance first-up here 22 days ago and landed the knockout blow, sitting handy and getting the job done by 1.3L. He rises in grade today, but drops a stack of weight and he maps for a lovely run close to the speed. Can go back-to-back without surprising. KA YING ATTACK (4) was good from the back here first-up and is not to be discounted.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track September 28 over 6f defeating Star Rise with 125lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell 3rd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, neck behind Thriving Brothers with 133lbs at $2.40. Expected to feature. 1st Pick 1 Little Paradise Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K H Ting J: Zac Purton T: K H Ting	164	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track September 28 over 6f defeating Star Rise with 125lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell 3rd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, neck behind Thriving Brothers with 133lbs at $2.40. Expected to feature.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on October 1 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Max Que with 128lbs at $3.10. Last start won by 1.3 len at this track October 26 over 7f defeating Anode carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Very smart and is a leading player again. 2nd Pick 2 Top Dragon Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: W Y So J: James Mcdonald T: W Y So	142	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on October 1 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Max Que with 128lbs at $3.10. Last start won by 1.3 len at this track October 26 over 7f defeating Anode carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Very smart and is a leading player again.
12	Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.3 len at this track November 15 over 7f defeating The Golden Knight with 131lbs at $8. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on January 31 over 7f, 5 len behind Packing Angel with 123lbs at $125. Improver who can measure up again. 3rd Pick 12 Bucephalas Jockey: Matthew Chadwick Trainer: W K Mo J: Matthew Chadwick T: W K Mo	85	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.3 len at this track November 15 over 7f defeating The Golden Knight with 131lbs at $8. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on January 31 over 7f, 5 len behind Packing Angel with 123lbs at $125. Improver who can measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.