Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 10

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

237.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

AURIO (3) has the most reliable profile, with consecutive thirds at Happy Valley and a proven record at this track and distance. He has been respected in the market, handles 6f well and gets Zac Purton back aboard, so he looks the runner with the strongest all-round case. MEGASTAR HEART (4) is a genuine danger after winning by two lengths at this venue first-up, and his compact career record says there is still scope to hold that form. LUCRATIVE EIGHT (11) was only beaten two and a half lengths when resuming and his one win and four places from six starts at this track and distance keep him firmly in calculations. SPICY STANDARD (9) was disappointing as favourite last time, but his prior Class 4 win was sharp, blinkers go on first time and his track-and-distance record gives him a clear route back into the race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Has built a strong platform with two Happy Valley thirds this campaign, most recently beaten just under three lengths by The Heir after making late ground without threatening the leaders. His prior third behind Ace Champion also had substance under a big weight. Brings the right form to be the one to beat. 1st Pick 3 Aurio Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Manfred Man J: Zac Purton T: Manfred Man	151	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Has built a strong platform with two Happy Valley thirds this campaign, most recently beaten just under three lengths by The Heir after making late ground without threatening the leaders. His prior third behind Ace Champion also had substance under a big weight. Brings the right form to be the one to beat.
4	Returned in excellent order when winning by two lengths at this track, beating Swift Ascend after pressing forward and taking over at the top of the straight. That followed a sound fifth at this venue over 7f, beaten two and a half lengths. His record is strong enough to make him a major winning threat. 2nd Pick 4 Megastar Heart Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Luke Ferraris T: Caspar Fownes	123	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Returned in excellent order when winning by two lengths at this track, beating Swift Ascend after pressing forward and taking over at the top of the straight. That followed a sound fifth at this venue over 7f, beaten two and a half lengths. His record is strong enough to make him a major winning threat.
11	Resumed with a sound seventh at this track, beaten two and a half lengths behind Absolute Heart, and that reads well enough given his consistent overall profile. Before the break he won a Class 4 at this venue by three lengths from Road To Glory as an odds-on favourite. Blinkers first time can sharpen him second-up. 3rd Pick 11 Lucrative Eight Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: P F Yiu J: Derek Leung T: P F Yiu	101	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Resumed with a sound seventh at this track, beaten two and a half lengths behind Absolute Heart, and that reads well enough given his consistent overall profile. Before the break he won a Class 4 at this venue by three lengths from Road To Glory as an odds-on favourite. Blinkers first time can sharpen him second-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.