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12:40 noon

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 10

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
261.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ENDUED (2) is racing well, holding his form since winning back in March. He finished strongly last start to be 0.2L off the winner at this track and trip and Ethan Brown now hops on board. Draws the best gate he's seen for a while and he looks the one to beat on his recent form. BIG RETURN (8) made it a hat-trick of wins last time out when scoring by 0.5L in easier company. He steps up to C3 today, but he drops 14lbs for the rise in grade and he is unbeaten since stepping out to the mile. This shapes similarly and it wouldn't surprise to see him continue his winning ways. COMPLETE UNKNOWN (11) stuck on well here a fortnight ago to miss out by 0.5L, but that was his first attempt at the mile. He should be better for that performance and he still has stacks of upside. Can make his presence felt. POPE CODY (3) won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Endued silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at this track on May 31 over 1m, head behind Family Jewel carrying 130lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 14 at this track on May 9 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Smart Avenue carrying 132lbs at $7.90. Made headway last time. Will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
2

Endued

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: John Size

J: Ethan Brown

T: John Size

108---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at this track on May 31 over 1m, head behind Family Jewel carrying 130lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 14 at this track on May 9 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Smart Avenue carrying 132lbs at $7.90. Made headway last time. Will take plenty of beating.

8
Big Return silk

On a three run winning streak. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track May 24 over 1m defeating Lucky Balerion with 133lbs at $4.20. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track April 26 over 1m defeating Jolly Brilliant carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Sure to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
8

Big Return

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: Jamie Richards

J: Alex Badel

T: Jamie Richards

88---17%5/1

Analysis

On a three run winning streak. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track May 24 over 1m defeating Lucky Balerion with 133lbs at $4.20. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track April 26 over 1m defeating Jolly Brilliant carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Sure to be in the finish.

11
Complete Unknown silk

Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at this track on May 31 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Family Jewel with 117lbs at $6.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 7f, 4 len behind Brilliant Express with 123lbs at $36. Big chance.

3rd Pick
11

Complete Unknown

Jockey: Matthew Chadwick

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Matthew Chadwick

T: W K Mo

96---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at this track on May 31 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Family Jewel with 117lbs at $6.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 7f, 4 len behind Brilliant Express with 123lbs at $36. Big chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.