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4:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AUDACIOUS PURSUIT (1) has flashed home from the back his past couple, missing by 1L when the race favourite over this course and distance last time out. The wide draw will see him back in the run again, but he'll be coming home with a wet sail. VOLCANIC SPARK (8) finished off strongly here last time out when behind a dominant winner. He's been back to the trials since where he was given an easy time of it and he rates well on his recent form. Wouldn't surprise to see him end his winning drought. SUPREME MASTERMIND (2) creates plenty of interest here as he drops back to Class 5 today with McDonald booked. Wouldn't surprise to see him turn his form right around in this easier race. AMAZING GAZE (3) is not to be discounted with Purton remaining in the saddle and a return to Sha Tin looking to suit much better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Audacious Pursuit silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Serangoon carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind China Win with 134lbs at $4. Progressing well. Sure to go close.

1st Pick
1

Audacious Pursuit

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: E C W Wong

T: Caspar Fownes

129---19%9/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Serangoon carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind China Win with 134lbs at $4. Progressing well. Sure to go close.

8
Volcanic Spark silk

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 49 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 3 len behind China Win carrying 123lbs at $4.70. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 121lbs at $8.10. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners.

2nd Pick
8

Volcanic Spark

Jockey: Richard Kingscote

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Richard Kingscote

T: P F Yiu

97---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 49 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 3 len behind China Win carrying 123lbs at $4.70. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 121lbs at $8.10. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners.

2
Supreme Mastermind silk

At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on February 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 115lbs at $72. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 119lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

3rd Pick
2

Supreme Mastermind

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: James Mcdonald

T: David A Hayes

102---13%7/1

Analysis

At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on February 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 115lbs at $72. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 119lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.