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3:40 PM

IE - Limerick - Race 7

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
21.3f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Yielding
11.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BLACKWATER SOLDIER has quickly set about making up for lost time since returning from a lengthy absence and is fancied to go one better than last time. Tantrum Boy looks the main danger if building on his Wexford run while Calzaghi, who should appreciate the drop in trip, is also capable of playing a part along with Run For The Border.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Blackwater Soldier (Ire) silk

Winning pointer. Returned from long absence with a promising effort at Ballinrobe and stepped up on that performance in first-time tongue strap when 8 lengths second of 13 to James The Brave in handicap at Killarney last time.

1st Pick
11

Blackwater Soldier (Ire)

Jockey: D. J. O'keeffe

Trainer: David Richard Barry, Ireland

J: D. J. O'keeffe

T: David Richard Barry, Ireland

99---14%13/2

Analysis

Winning pointer. Returned from long absence with a promising effort at Ballinrobe and stepped up on that performance in first-time tongue strap when 8 lengths second of 13 to James The Brave in handicap at Killarney last time.

14
Tantrum Boy (Ire) silk

Showed improved form when ½-length second of 14 to Sekakarma in handicap hurdle at Wexford (2½m, good, 6/1) in August. Shaped much better than the result suggests when well held at Galway last time, racing wider than most. One to consider.

2nd Pick
14

Tantrum Boy (Ire)

Jockey: Phillip Enright

Trainer: Brian M. Mcmahon, Ireland

J: Phillip Enright

T: Brian M. Mcmahon, Ireland

97---17%5/1

Analysis

Showed improved form when ½-length second of 14 to Sekakarma in handicap hurdle at Wexford (2½m, good, 6/1) in August. Shaped much better than the result suggests when well held at Galway last time, racing wider than most. One to consider.

2
Calzaghi (Ire) silk

Fairly useful Flat winner. Yet to get anywhere near that level over hurdles but shaped vastly better than the bare result when 18½ lengths ninth of 15 to Private Policy in 23f handicap at Clonmel last time, travelling better than most but not getting home. The shorter trip here will suit.

3rd Pick
2

Calzaghi (Ire)

Jockey: T. Joseph Kelly

Trainer: Eric Mcnamara, Ireland

J: T. Joseph Kelly

T: Eric Mcnamara, Ireland

98---6%16/1

Analysis

Fairly useful Flat winner. Yet to get anywhere near that level over hurdles but shaped vastly better than the bare result when 18½ lengths ninth of 15 to Private Policy in 23f handicap at Clonmel last time, travelling better than most but not getting home. The shorter trip here will suit.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.