NZ - Gore - Race 8

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.6f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

20.2K

VIEW

Verdict

TOMASINA (4) tried hard and was only run over late here 4 weeks ago when finishing runner-up by half a length. The visor blinkers go on, and she is good enough to go one better this time. KING OF THE CASTLE (2) was disappointing over a middle distance at Cromwell last start, and has been below his best since relocating from Australia. A good track would suit him, and maybe dropping right back in trip may unlock some good form. This is his last chance for us. SIR STERLING (3) faded out of it after racing handy to the pace here 4 weeks ago, and will drop 10lbs for this assignment. The 4-week space between runs is probably what he needed, and he can bounce straight back into the money here. Stick with him. THE HANGOVER (6) resumes from a spell, and he normally comes to hand quickly. Don't risk him. HENRY HUBBER (5) and PENVOSE LAD (7) are both in form, and worth including in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sestina with 120lbs at $4.20. The race before that 5th of 11 at Riccarton Park in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $29.80. Expected to go well again. 1st Pick 4 Tomasina Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Sabin Kirkland J: Terry Moseley T: Sabin Kirkland	145	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sestina with 120lbs at $4.20. The race before that 5th of 11 at Riccarton Park in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $29.80. Expected to go well again.
2	Last start 8th of 11 at Cromwell on November 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Shaking Stevens with 120lbs at $8.20. The start before that 5th of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Sestina carrying 126lbs at $8.20. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 2 King Of The Castle Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Amber Riddell T: Kelvin Tyler	152	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 11 at Cromwell on November 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Shaking Stevens with 120lbs at $8.20. The start before that 5th of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Sestina carrying 126lbs at $8.20. Capable of sharp improvement.
1	Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Miss Miranda with 126lbs at $14. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Oamaru on July 21 2024 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Natural Momentum carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 1 The Good Shepherd Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lee Callaway J: Non Runner T: Lee Callaway	112	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Miss Miranda with 126lbs at $14. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Oamaru on July 21 2024 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Natural Momentum carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Plenty of improvement to come.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.